Match Info

A-League - Round 11

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go, SPOTV
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
Philippines	SPOTV
South-korea	SPOTV
Thailand	SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV


	Western Sydney Wanderers		Macarthur FC

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.9	4.2	Watch
	1.75	3.95	3.95	Watch
	1.77	4.07	4.12	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.9
	1.85	3.98	4.08	Watch
	1.73	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.85)	3.93 ↑ (3.67)	4.08 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Sydney Wanderers
53.1%

Draw
23.9%

Macarthur FC
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Macarthur FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	5.9%	35.3%

Western Sydney Wanderers - Macarthur FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Western Sydney will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Macarthur will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Western Sydney: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Western Sydney (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Macarthur (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Macarthur (1.98) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Western Sydney (votes: 6 - 50%). Macarthur (votes: 6 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thomas L. (C) 19. Tongyik R. 22. Pantazopoulos A. 4. Bonetig A. 38. Rose J. 25. Brillante J. 32. Thurgate A. 17. Carluccio J. 26. Borrello B. 45. Kuol A. 23. Kraev B.	12. Kurto F. (G) 25. Talbot C. 6. Uskok T. 3. Da Silva D. 11. Oliveira B. 10. Caceres A. (C) 22. Rose L. 18. Scott W. 24. Bosnjak D. 8. Vickery L. 13. Duran R.
Substitutes
37. Abdul-Rahman A. 9. Barbarouses K. 24. Barrie N. 3. Gersbach A. 30. Holmes J. (G) 5. Scicluna D. 8. Ugarkovic S.	23. Deli F. 7. Grzan S. 9. Ikonomidis C. 32. McKay W. 14. Popovic K. 1. Robinson A. (G) 28. Sawyer H.
Coaches
Stajcic A.	Sterjovski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Talbot C. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Duran R. ⚽, Oliveira B. (A),
45+2', Oliveira B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kuol A. ↓, Scicluna D. ↑,
62', Vickery L. ↓, Grzan S. ↑,
62', Duran R. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
65', Rose J. ↓, Barbarouses K. ↑,
77', Oliveira B. ↓, Ikonomidis C. ↑,
77', Carluccio J. ↓, Gersbach A. ↑,
77', Bosnjak D. ↓, Deli F. ↑,
85', Caceres A. ↓, McKay W. ↑,
87', Scicluna D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 3.

Western Sydney has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Macarthur is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Western Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Western Sydney is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Western Sydney: Gersbach A. (Injury)

There will not play in Macarthur: Brattan L. (Yellow Cards) Ikonomidis C. (Injury) Ji Dong-Won (Ankle Injury) Krslovic S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Macarthur: Grzan S. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Western Sydney won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Macarthur FC: 8.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	WS Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Macarthur FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
27.12.25	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:2 ✺
19.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Auckland FC	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Perth Glory - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Sydney	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTLW
- Macarthur FC
Australian A-League
26.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	4:5 ✺
23.12.25	Melbourne City - Macarthur FC	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Macarthur FC - Brisbane Roar	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
11.12.25	Beijing Guoan - Macarthur FC	1:2 ✺
Australian A-League
05.12.25	Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
01.11.25	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:1
03.05.25	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:3
16.02.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Macarthur FC	2:1
01.01.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Macarthur FC	2:3
01.04.24	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:3
04.02.24	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:3
01.01.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Macarthur FC	3:1

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