The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Western Sydney Wanderers 34.4%
Draw 25.6%
Melbourne Victory 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
23.7%
50.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western Sydney Wanderers's performance.
Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Victory might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
44.4%
44.4%
Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Western Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Holmes J. (G) 36. Madanha P. 33. Ferreyra G. 22. Pantazopoulos A. 3. Gersbach A. 7. Hammond A. 8. Scicluna D. 32. Thurgate A. 21. Gillion L. 26. Borrello B. (C) 10. Di Pizio M.
25. Duncan J. (G) 16. Inserra J. 4. Ziereis P. 3. Davidson J. (C) 18. Lino F. 6. D'Arrigo L. 8. Valadon J. 23. Jelacic K. 14. Grimaldi M. 11. Clarismario 44. Nduka C.
Substitutes
24. Barrie N. 17. Carluccio J. 19. Lual A. 14. Milanovic N. 27. Rose J. 55. Vidackovic T. (G) 31. Waraga A.
29. Ghossaini M. 5. Hamill B. 24. Olukhale M. 9. Sawyer H. 36. Shillington H. 22. Stella X. 1. Warshawsky J. (G)
Coaches
Talay U.
Savarese G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Ziereis P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Di Pizio M. ↓, Milanovic N. ↑,
62', Davidson J. 🟨,
77', Gillion L. ↓, Waraga A. ↑,
77', Clarismario ↓, Ghossaini M. ↑,
83', Grimaldi M. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
84', Lino F. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
97', 0 - 1, Sawyer H. ⚽,
99', Borrello B. 🟨,
100', Hammond A. ↓, Lual A. ↑,
102', 1 - 1, Milanovic N. ⚽,
114', Jelacic K. ↓, Olukhale M. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Milanovic N. (Penalty Awarded),
1, D'Arrigo L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Borrello B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sawyer H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Scicluna D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ghossaini M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Lual A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Nduka C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Gersbach A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 2.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Western Sydney won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.5:1.6).