Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 21

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Gosford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Central Coast Mariners		Western United

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.9	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.95
	3.59	3.85	2.02
	3.61	3.88	1.94	Watch
	3.5	3.7	1.95
	3.62	3.92	1.92	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.85)	3.82 ↑ (3.66)	1.95 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
26.6%

Draw
24.8%

Western United
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.8%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

25.9%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Coast Mariners's form might have worsened.

Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Coast Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Central Coast Mariners - Western United Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Western United will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Western United: 57.5% – 87.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G) 27. Kuzevski S. 3. Kaltack B. 33. Paull N. 12. Mauragis L. 10. Mikael Doka 36. Eames H. 16. Steele H. 7. Theoharous C. 9. Kuol A. 23. Di Pizio M.	33. Sutton M. (G) 13. Russell T. 6. Imai T. 30. Leonard D. 29. Shamoon C. A. 10. Grimaldi M. 23. Bozinovski R. 32. Thurgate A. 20. Walatee A. 19. Botic N. 9. Ibusuki H.
Substitutes
37. Brandtman B. 29. Duarte N. 21. Faisal A. 24. Herrington D. 8. McCalmont A. 1. Pavlesic A. (G) 15. Roux S.	77. Danzaki R. 44. Lauton J. 7. Najjarine R. 24. Ruhs M. 37. Vickery L. 22. Vidmar K. 70. Vonja M. (G)
Coaches
Jackson M.	Aloisi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Walatee A. ↓, Danzaki R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Kuol A. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
46', Kuzevski S. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Botic N. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),
60', Steele H. ↓, McCalmont A. ↑,
60', Theoharous C. ↓, Faisal A. ↑,
64', Ibusuki H. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Imai T. (Own goal),
78', Botic N. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
78', Grimaldi M. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
78', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
80', Lauton J. 🟨,
81', Paull N. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Vickery L. ⚽, Ruhs M. (A),
86', Di Pizio M. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
86', McCalmont A. 🟨,
90+5', Vickery L. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 3, Ruhs M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Coast won 4.

Central Coast is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Western United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Western United have a series of home games.

Western United will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Central Coast: Duarte N. (Injury) Edmondson R. (Injury) Sainsbury T. (Yellow Cards) Tapp B. (Knee Injury) Torres A. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J. (Calf Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Central Coast won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26:18 (average 2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Central Coast won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:4 (average 2.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
22.02.25	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:4 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.02.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Central Coast Mariners	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Central Coast Mariners - Johor Darul Takzim	1:2 ✺
Australian A-League
07.02.25	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTT
- Western United
Australian A-League
23.02.25	Western United - Adelaide United	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Western United - Auckland FC	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Macarthur FC - Western United	2:2 ✺
29.01.25	Western United - Central Coast Mariners	2:2 ✺
17.01.25	Western United - Newcastle Jets	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
29.01.25	Western United - Central Coast Mariners	2:2
13.04.24	Western United - Central Coast Mariners	0:2
08.12.23	Central Coast Mariners - Western United	4:0
07.04.23	Western United - Central Coast Mariners	0:3
29.10.22	Central Coast Mariners - Western United	4:2
30.04.22	Central Coast Mariners - Western United	1:0
01.04.22	Western United - Central Coast Mariners	2:2

Central Coast Mariners - Western United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide