Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 20

Date: 24 January 2023, Tuesday


	Dulwich Hamlet		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.45	1.7
	3.85	3.75	1.74
	4.53	3.91	1.66
	4.4	3.7	1.67
	4.4	3.98	1.63
	3.85	3.75	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.47)	3.76 ↑ (3.4)	1.69 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dulwich Hamlet
21.6%

Draw
24.3%

Ebbsfleet United
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

26.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

23.5%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dulwich Hamlet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ebbsfleet United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dulwich Hamlet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ebbsfleet United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dulwich Hamlet - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Dulwich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ebbsfleet is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Dulwich won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dulwich Hamlet
English National League South
21.01.23	Slough Town - Dulwich Hamlet	4:3 ✺
14.01.23	Welling United - Dulwich Hamlet	2:4 ✺
07.01.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Farnborough	1:4 ✺
01.01.23	Dover Athletic - Dulwich Hamlet	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLWT
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
17.01.23	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Dover Athletic - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Ebbsfleet United - Weymouth	4:1 ✺
01.01.23	Dartford - Ebbsfleet United	4:0 ✺
26.12.22	Ebbsfleet United - Dartford	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
15.04.22	Ebbsfleet United - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1
04.12.21	Dulwich Hamlet - Ebbsfleet United	5:2
10.10.20	Ebbsfleet United - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1

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