Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 18

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Widzewa Łódź (Lodz)

Referee: Jarzebak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV


	Widzew Łódź		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.25
	2.1	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.13	3.55	3.46
	2.12	3.56	3.38	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.1
	2.07	3.58	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.95)	3.52 ↓ (3.62)	3.3 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Widzew Łódź
44.9%

Draw
26.6%

Stal Mielec
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

25.8%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.2%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Widzew will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Widzew: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gikiewicz R. (G) 91. Krajewski M. 4. Zyro M. 2. Silva L. 3. Kozlovsky S. 10. Alvarez F. 6. Shehu J. 37. Kerk S. 77. Sypek J. 9. Rondic I. 78. Cybulski K.	39. Madrzyk J. (G) 18. Wlazlo P. 3. Esselink B. 15. Senger M. 27. Jaunzems A. 10. Domanski M. 6. Guillaumier M. 23. Getinger K. (C) 96. Dadok R. 17. Shkurin I. 44. Krykun S.
Substitutes
31. Bieganski M. (G) 44. Diliberto N. 8. Gong H. 18. Gryzio D. 25. Hanousek Mar. 15. Ibiza 21. Kwiatkowski P. 7. Lukowski J. 17. Sobol H.	9. Assayag R. 32. Gerbowski F. 8. Hinokio K. 13. Jalocha K. (G) 20. Knap K. 21. Matras M. 19. Tkacz D. 11. Wolkowicz K. 25. Wolsztynski L.
Coaches
Mysliwiec D.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Cybulski K. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Wlazlo P. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Kerk S. ↓, Hanousek Mar. ↑,
67', Cybulski K. ↓, Lukowski J. ↑,
72', Guillaumier M. 🟨,
79', Esselink B. ↓, Matras M. ↑,
79', Dadok R. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
80', Shehu J. 🟨,
85', 2 - 1, Rondic I. ⚽, Silva L. (A),
86', Domanski M. ↓, Wolsztynski L. ↑,
89', Sypek J. ↓, Sobol H. ↑,
89', Alvarez F. ↓, Ibiza ↑,
90', Jaunzems A. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
90', Krykun S. ↓, Assayag R. ↑,
90+1', Matras M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Widzew won 2.

Widzew is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stal Mielec is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Widzew could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Widzew will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Widzew: Pawlowski B. (Injury)

There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Widzew: Hamulic S. (Knee Injury) Ibiza (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Widzew won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Widzew won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Widzew Łódź
Polish Cup
04.12.24	Korona Kielce - Widzew Łódź	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.11.24	Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
25.11.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Widzew Łódź	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Legia Warsaw - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.12.24	Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Radomiak Radom - Stal Mielec	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Raków Częstochowa - Stal Mielec	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Lubin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
22.07.24	Stal Mielec - Widzew Łódź	1:1
13.04.24	Stal Mielec - Widzew Łódź	0:0
Polish Cup
06.12.23	Stal Mielec - Widzew Łódź	1:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.10.23	Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec	1:0
08.04.23	Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec	0:2
17.09.22	Stal Mielec - Widzew Łódź	0:3
Club Friendly
12.02.20	Stal Mielec - Widzew Łódź	3:1

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