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Current Win Probability
Stal Mielec 39.3%
Draw 27.5%
Zagłębie Lubin 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
28.9%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
28.8%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stal Mielec's performance.
Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stal Mielec that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
30%
20%
Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Lubin Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 19% – 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Madrzyk J. (G) 18. Wlazlo P. 21. Matras M. 15. Senger M. 27. Jaunzems A. 19. Tkacz D. 6. Guillaumier M. 23. Getinger K. (C) 10. Domanski M. 44. Krykun S. 25. Wolsztynski L.
30. Hladun D. (G) 31. Orlikowski I. 25. Nalepa M. 5. Lawniczak A. 8. Dabrowski D. (C) 27. Kludka B. 17. Wdowiak M. 18. Radwanski A. 7. Mroz M. 80. Mikolajewski D. 9. Sejk V.
Substitutes
9. Assayag R. 40. Bagalianis P. 34. Cetnar A. 96. Dadok R. 3. Esselink B. 13. Jalocha K. (G) 20. Knap K. 17. Shkurin I. 11. Wolkowicz K.
15. Adamczyk H. 1. Buric J. (G) 13. Grzybek M. 3. Kopacz B. 23. Kusztal P. 6. Makowski T. 55. Mata L. 21. Regula M. 11. Wozniak A.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.
Wlodarski M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Tkacz D. 🟨,
32', Kludka B. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Wlazlo P. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mikolajewski D. ↓, Kusztal P. ↑,
46', Kludka B. ↓, Grzybek M. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Wdowiak M. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Senger M. ⚽, Guillaumier M. (A),
63', Sejk V. ↓, Regula M. ↑,
70', Radwanski A. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
74', Krykun S. ↓, Assayag R. ↑,
74', Tkacz D. ↓, Knap K. ↑,
76', Wlazlo P. 🟥,
78', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Esselink B. ↑,
82', Orlikowski I. ↓, Adamczyk H. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Wdowiak M. ⚽, Dabrowski D. (A),
90+1', Jaunzems A. ↓, Bagalianis P. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 2.
Stal Mielec is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Zagłębie Lubin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Zagłębie Lubin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Stal Mielec have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
Pajnowski K.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Kurminowski D.
(Muscle Injury)
Szmyt K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Szafranek W.
(Knee Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1.8:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:6 (average 2.8:1.5).
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Finland
Poland
Ukraine
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Madrzyk J. (G) 
Senger M. 
Jaunzems A. 
Guillaumier M. 
Krykun S. 
Sejk V. 
Assayag R. 
Bagalianis P. 
Esselink B. 
Shkurin I. 
Buric J. (G) 
Mata L. 
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