Match Info

League One - Round 37

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	2.05
	3.35	3.05	2.22
	3.56	3.18	2.25
	3.2	3.28	2.24	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.15
	3.41	3.14	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.46)	3.19 ↓ (3.22)	2.19 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
27.9%

Draw
29.3%

Bradford City
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wigan Athletic's form might have worsened.

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bradford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bradford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Wigan Athletic - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bradford will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 45. Llyton C. 15. Kerr J. (C) 4. Aimson W. 21. Borges Rodrigues R. 6. Weir J. 33. Moxon O. 7. Murray F. 25. Vickers C. 8. Wright C. 10. Taylor J.	1. Walker S. (G) 28. Pennington M. 26. Tilt C. 3. Touray I. 7. Neufville J. 6. Power M. (C) 21. Metcalfe J. 17. Wright T. 10. Sarcevic A. 23. Pointon B. 27. Wheatley E.
Substitutes
43. Bettoni H. 44. Hungbo J. 20. McManaman C. 19. Robinson L. 30. Savin T. (G) 9. Saydee C. 17. Smith M.	33. Ashby H. 8. Evans L. 25. Hilton J. (G) 11. Humphrys S. 14. Mullin P. 24. Swan W. 4. Wright J.
Coaches
Caldwell G.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Vickers C. ⚽, Murray F. (A),
31', Aimson W. 🟨,
39', Kerr J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pointon B. ↓, Humphrys S. ↑,
46', Sarcevic A. ↓, Swan W. ↑,
46', Wheatley E. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
59', Vickers C. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
66', Touray I. 🟨,
68', Weir J. 🟨,
75', Pennington M. ↓, Ashby H. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Taylor J. ⚽, Wright C. (A),
82', Borges Rodrigues R. 🟨,
85', Moxon O. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
90', Llyton C. ↓, Robinson L. ↑,
90+1', Taylor J. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
90+5', Ashby H. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wigan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Wigan: Hunt J. (Injury) Mabaya I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McHugh H. (Inactive) Rogers J. (Injury) Trevitt R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Bradford: Jackson K. (Inactive) Powell N. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wigan: Adeeko B. (Inactive) Carragher J. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Outrights of English League One for now

Bradford City: 8.09% Wigan: 0.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bradford City	9	5	2	2	8:5	3	17
24	Wigan	8	1	1	6	5:13	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Wigan Athletic - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.22%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
10.03.26	Wigan Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Blackpool - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Wigan Athletic - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Stockport County - Wigan Athletic	4:2 ✺
18.02.26	Wigan Athletic - Luton Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWLW
- Bradford City
English League One
11.03.26	Port Vale - Bradford City	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Bradford City - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Reading - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Bradford City - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.12.25	Bradford City - Wigan Athletic	2:1
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Bradford City - Wigan Athletic	1:1
English League One
14.03.18	Bradford City - Wigan Athletic	0:1
18.11.17	Wigan Athletic - Bradford City	1:2
19.03.16	Wigan Athletic - Bradford City	1:0
24.10.15	Bradford City - Wigan Athletic	1:1
English League Cup
30.10.12	Wigan Athletic - Bradford City	0:1 pen.

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