The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wigan Athletic 35.4%
Draw 29.1%
Plymouth Argyle 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
28.8%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
30.3%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wigan Athletic's form might have worsened.
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Argyle's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
33.3%
41.7%
Wigan Athletic - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Plymouth will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Wigan (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Wigan (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wigan (votes: 2 - 40%). Plymouth (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 15. Kerr J. (C) 4. Aimson W. 19. Robinson L. 20. McManaman C. 6. Weir J. 17. Smith M. 7. Murray F. 33. Moxon O. 10. Taylor J. 9. Saydee C.
21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 3. MacKenzie J. 28. Curtis R. 19. Boateng M. 20. Kane H. 35. Dale O. 27. Pepple A. 17. Watts C.
Substitutes
43. Bettoni H. 21. Borges Rodrigues R. 28. Graham L. 44. Hungbo J. 45. Llyton C. 30. Savin T. (G) 25. Vickers C.
10. Amaechi X. 13. Baker Z. (G) 41. Campbell S. 40. Mwaro J. 18. Oseni O. 7. Paterson J. 4. Wiredu B.
Coaches
Caldwell G.
Cleverley T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
38', 0 - 1, Pepple A. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Pepple A. ⚽, Boateng M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', McManaman C. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
46', Smith M. ↓, Bettoni H. ↑,
53', Curtis R. 🟨,
64', Watts C. 🟨,
69', Saydee C. ↓, Vickers C. ↑,
69', Robinson L. ↓, Llyton C. ↑,
71', 0 - 3, Watts C. ⚽, Boateng M. (A),
74', Kane H. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
78', Curtis R. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
78', MacKenzie J. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
83', Murray F. ↓, Borges Rodrigues R. ↑,
86', Watts C. ↓, Campbell S. ↑,
86', Pepple A. ↓, Oseni O. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Plymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Wigan: Mabaya I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McHugh H.
(Inactive)
Rogers J.
(Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B.
(Inactive)
Hazard C.
(Injury)
Tolaj L.
(Inactive)
Wiredu B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Wigan: Adeeko B.
(Inactive)
Carragher J.
(Inactive)
Hunt J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Finn T.
(Inactive)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Inactive)
Ralls J.
(Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Plymouth
10
6
1
3
18:12
6
19
24
Wigan
8
1
1
6
5:13
-8
4
Last Results with these Odds
Plymouth Argyle - the odds 3.74 are the expected chance of winning is 24.99%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Tickle S. (G) 
Kerr J. (C) 
Taylor J. 
Ross M. 
Curtis R. 
Pepple A. 
Watts C. 
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