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Current Win Probability
Millwall 50.3%
Draw 28.4%
Wigan Athletic 21.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.2%
27.7%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
27.2%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.4%
4.5%
9.1%
Millwall - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
Millwall will win
(38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.22% โ 96.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Millwall has the most likely position - 6 (7.57%), has project points - 69, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Wigan has the most likely position - 23 (12.37%), has project points - 51, has currently - 23, has a chance of relegated (36%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality42, importance35, match rating38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 1.
Recent matches Millwall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wigan is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wigan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Millwall is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Millwall won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.
Watch
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