The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swansea City 49.9%
Draw 27.6%
Wigan Athletic 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
28.2%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
27.5%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75.7%
8.1%
16.2%
Swansea City - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%). Wigan will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 61.9% – 89.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Swansea has the most likely position - 7 (6.49%), has project points - 67, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Wigan has the most likely position - 24 (11.83%), has project points - 51, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality41, small importance29, match rating35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 3.
Recent matches Swansea is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Wigan has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Swansea is a favorite.
There will not play in Swansea: Allen J.
(Injury)
Walsh L.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Wigan: Lang C.
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Swansea won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.
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