Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 19

Date: 2 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: DW Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.4
	2.95	3.2	2.45
	3.1	3.2	2.48
	2.95	3.2	2.4
	3.18	3.28	2.45
	3	3.1	2.4
	3.04	3.28	2.41	Watch
	3	3.25	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.67)	3.23 ↑ (3.21)	2.43 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
31.4%

Draw
29.5%

Stoke City
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.2%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

27.8%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27%	18.9%	54.1%

Wigan Athletic - Stoke City Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 10 - 27%). Stoke will win (votes: 20 - 54.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 38% – 70.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 21).

Wigan has the most likely position - 24 (9.54%), has project points - 53, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (28%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Stoke has the most likely position - 15 (5.6%), has project points - 61, has currently - 19, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 42, importance 31, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 2.

Wigan is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stoke is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Wigan: Edwards G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wigan: Lang C. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Wigan won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League Championship
29.10.22	Wigan Athletic - Watford	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Queens Park Rangers - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
19.10.22	Wigan Athletic - Middlesbrough	1:4 ✺
15.10.22	Sunderland - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
11.10.22	Wigan Athletic - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Stoke City
English League Championship
29.10.22	Norwich City - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
22.10.22	Stoke City - Coventry City	0:2 ✺
18.10.22	Stoke City - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Preston North End - Stoke City	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Stoke City - Sheffield United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
05.02.22	Stoke City - Wigan Athletic	2:0
Club Friendly
27.07.21	Wigan Athletic - Stoke City	2:1
English League Championship
30.06.20	Wigan Athletic - Stoke City	3:0
23.11.19	Stoke City - Wigan Athletic	2:1
English League Cup
13.08.19	Wigan Athletic - Stoke City	0:1
English League Championship
13.02.19	Wigan Athletic - Stoke City	0:0
22.08.18	Stoke City - Wigan Athletic	0:3

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