Match Info

League One - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Bolton Wanderers		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.7	4.1	Watch
	1.82	3.55	4.15	Watch
	1.9	3.84	4.26
	1.05	11.46	30.00	Watch
	1.85	3.8	4.21	Watch
	1.66	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.75)	5.02 ↑ (3.7)	8.58 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
65.4%

Draw
21.8%

Wigan Athletic
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.4%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigan Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Bolton Wanderers - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Bolton (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Wigan (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bolton Wanderers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolton (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Wigan (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 2. Dacres-Cogley J. 3. Forino-Joseph C. 6. Johnston G. (C) 25. Conway M. 19. Cozier-Duberry A. 4. Simons X. 21. Erhahon E. 24. Forss M. 11. Gale T. 48. Burstow M.	1. Tickle S. (G) 5. Sessegnon S. 4. Aimson W. (C) 3. Fox M. 17. Smith M. 7. Murray F. 44. Hungbo J. 14. Trevitt R. 16. Adeeko B. 10. Mullin P. 11. Costelloe D.
Substitutes
20. Cissoko I. 10. Dalby S. 27. Miller T. (G) 16. Morley A. 17. Randall J. 8. Sheehan J. 18. Toal E.	37. Asamoah M. 21. Borges Rodrigues R. 31. Cooper O. 20. McManaman C. 19. Robinson L. 30. Savin T. (G) 8. Wright C.
Coaches
Schumacher S.	Lowe R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Gale T. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Forss M. ⚽, Gale T. (A),
42', 3 - 0, Burstow M. ⚽, Erhahon E. (A),
45+6', Hungbo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Adeeko B. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
46', Costelloe D. ↓, Robinson L. ↑,
46', Hungbo J. ↓, Borges Rodrigues R. ↑,
50', 4 - 0, Forss M. ⚽,
54', 4 - 1, Mullin P. ⚽, Trevitt R. (A),
58', Forss M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
68', Gale T. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
69', Smith M. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
85', Erhahon E. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
85', Burstow M. ↓, Sheehan J. ↑,
85', Sessegnon S. ↓, McManaman C. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 1.

Bolton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wigan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Wigan has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Dempsey K. (Knee Injury) Forrester W. (Hamstring Injury) Osei-Tutu J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Wigan: Adams J. (Knee Injury) Mabaya I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Miller K. L. (Inactive) Robinson L. (Inactive) Sze C. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Wigan: Carragher J. (Surgery) Francois T. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
13.09.25	Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Blackpool - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWTT
- Wigan Athletic
English League One
13.09.25	Wigan Athletic - Doncaster Rovers	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Lincoln City - Wigan Athletic	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Wigan Athletic - Salford City	0:2 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.04.25	Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	0:1
14.12.24	Bolton Wanderers - Wigan Athletic	0:2
27.02.24	Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	1:0
19.08.23	Bolton Wanderers - Wigan Athletic	0:4
02.04.22	Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	1:1
16.10.21	Bolton Wanderers - Wigan Athletic	0:4
English League Cup
24.08.21	Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 penalties

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