Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ESPN 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
South-africa	SuperSport ESPN


	Willem II		Utrecht

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.95
	3.7	3.35	2.08	Watch
	3.73	3.43	2.12
	3.68	3.43	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.6	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.7	3.35	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.56)	3.43 ↓ (3.69)	2.06 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Willem II
26%

Draw
27.8%

Utrecht
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

25.7%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

25.3%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	9.5%	81%

Willem II - Utrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: Utrecht will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Didillon T. (G) 25. Tirpan M. 33. St. Jago T. 30. Behounek R. 4. Schouten E. (C) 5. Sigurgeirsson R. 8. Bosch J. 6. Lambert B. 16. Meerveld R. 18. Bokila J. 9. Vaesen K.	1. Barkas V. (G) 2. Horemans S. 3. van der Hoorn M. 24. Viergever N. (C) 16. El Karouani S. 14. Iqbal Z. 18. Toornstra J. 21. Aaronson P. 6. Fraulo O. 91. Haller S. 9. Min D.
Substitutes
7. Doodeman N. 17. Joosten P. 77. Kaygin D. 11. Kehrer E. 48. Mathijsen J. 22. Nizet R. 15. Pivas M. 14. Sandra C. 41. Schut M. (G) 19. Sylla Y. 24. van den Berg C. (G) 50. van Loon P.	15. Blake A. 25. Brouwer M. (G) 32. de Graaff T. (G) 19. Descotte A. 40. Didden M. 27. Engwanda A. 5. Finnsson K. 7. Jensen V. 11. Ohio N.
Coaches
Maes P.	Jans R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Lambert B. ⚽, Tirpan M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
66', Min D. ↓, Ohio N. ↑,
66', Toornstra J. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Haller S. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
71', Vaesen K. ↓, Sandra C. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Ohio N. ⚽, Viergever N. (A),
80', van der Hoorn M. ↓, Didden M. ↑,
82', Schouten E. ↓, Kaygin D. ↑,
82', Lambert B. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Sigurgeirsson R. ⚽,
83', Iqbal Z. ↓, Engwanda A. ↑,
85', Aaronson P. ↓, Jensen V. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Blake A. ⚽, Jensen V. (A),
86', Blake A. 🟨,
87', Ohio N. 🟨,
90', Bosch J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Willem II won 1.

Willem II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Utrecht is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Willem II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Utrecht is a favorite.

There will not play in Willem II: van Aalst U. (Overload)

There will not play in Utrecht: Bozdogan C. (Injury) Van Hees R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Utrecht: Cathline Y. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez M. (Groin Injury) Vesterlund N. (Ankle Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Willem II won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 21:41 (average 1.1:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Willem II won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1.3:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
02.03.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Willem II	4:0 ✺
15.02.25	Willem II - Groningen	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	PSV Eindhoven - Willem II	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Willem II - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Waalwijk - Willem II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LLTLL
- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
01.03.25	Utrecht - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	PSV Eindhoven - Utrecht	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Utrecht - Almere City	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.02.25	Heracles Almelo - Utrecht	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
01.02.25	Zwolle - Utrecht	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
21.09.24	Utrecht - Willem II	3:2
15.05.22	Willem II - Utrecht	3:0
31.10.21	Utrecht - Willem II	5:1
01.05.21	Utrecht - Willem II	3:2
19.02.21	Willem II - Utrecht	0:6
16.02.20	Willem II - Utrecht	1:1
29.09.19	Utrecht - Willem II	2:0

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