Match Info

Date: 4 January 2022, Tuesday


	Wimborne Town		Truro City

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.2	1.55
	4.2	4.1	1.59
	5.03	4.21	1.59
	4.6	3.9	1.57
	4.8	4.33	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (3.51)	4.15 ↑ (3.73)	1.57 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wimborne Town
19.9%

Draw
22%

Truro City
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

24.2%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

15.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wimborne Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wimborne Town's form might have worsened.

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Truro City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wimborne Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-25.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Truro City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wimborne Town - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Wimborne is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Truro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wimborne won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Wimborne won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
01.01.22	Poole Town - Wimborne Town	3:1 ✺
18.12.21	Wimborne Town - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
11.12.21	Metropolitan Police - Wimborne Town	2:2 ✺
04.12.21	Wimborne Town - Hendon	1:4 ✺
01.12.21	Gosport Borough - Wimborne Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWTLL
- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
01.01.22	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.12.21	Truro City - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
11.12.21	Truro City - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
04.12.21	Chesham United - Truro City	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Binfield - Truro City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
27.10.20	Truro City - Wimborne Town	4:1
17.09.19	Wimborne Town - Truro City	2:2

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