Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 32

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Burgess Hill Town		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.7	3.1
	1.92	3.77	3.19
	1.96	3.78	3.21	Watch
	1.92	3.7	3.26
	2.28	3.66	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.31)	3.72 ↓ (3.73)	3.08 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgess Hill Town
45.7%

Draw
24.6%

Wingate & Finchley
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

24.7%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

24%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgess Hill Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burgess Hill Town's performance.

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wingate & Finchley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Burgess Hill Town - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Price B. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Lowe R. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Bennett K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
89', 3 - 1, Vorster G. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, Akinola R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgess Hill won 1.

Burgess Hill has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wingate & Finchley has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Burgess Hill may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wingate & Finchley has had a series of home games.

Burgess Hill could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Burgess Hill won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgess Hill won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Burgess Hill: 3.29% Wingate & Finchley: 1.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Burgess Hill	8	3	4	1	15:10	5	13
15	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13:18	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.02.26	Whitehawk - Burgess Hill Town	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Burgess Hill Town - St Albans City	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hashtag United - Burgess Hill Town	2:6 ✺
24.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Dartford	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Burgess Hill Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLWWT
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.02.26	Wingate & Finchley - Potters Bar Town	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Wingate & Finchley - Cheshunt	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Wingate & Finchley - Ramsgate	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Wingate & Finchley	4:0 ✺
17.01.26	Chichester City - Wingate & Finchley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.04.19	Wingate & Finchley - Burgess Hill Town	4:2
16.10.18	Burgess Hill Town - Wingate & Finchley	0:1
05.04.18	Burgess Hill Town - Wingate & Finchley	3:1
09.09.17	Wingate & Finchley - Burgess Hill Town	2:0
21.02.17	Burgess Hill Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:3
10.01.17	Wingate & Finchley - Burgess Hill Town	2:1
06.02.16	Wingate & Finchley - Burgess Hill Town	5:1

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