Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 9

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana (Kraków)

Referee: Malyszek J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Wisła Kraków		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	7.5	Watch
	1.3	5	8.25
	1.3	5	8	Watch
	1.31	5.27	9.13
	1.31	5.14	9.28
	1.29	4.8	8.5
	1.31	5.05	8.55	Watch
	1.3	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.47)	5.03 ↑ (4.1)	8.4 ↑ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Kraków
70.7%

Draw
18.3%

Warta Poznań
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

22.7%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

22.3%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wisła Kraków's performance.

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła Kraków that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wisła Kraków - Warta Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: Wisła Kraków will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Chichkan A. (G) 25. Jaroch B. 6. Uryga A. (C) 97. Biedrzycki W. 4. Mikulec R. 12. Igbekeme J. 8. Carbo M. 22. Starzynski P. 19. Sukiennicki O. 10. Almeida Duarte F. F. P. 9. Rodado A.	1. Grobelny J. (G) 27. Przybylko K. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 2. Bartkowski J. 20. Szeliga B. 5. Tkachuk Y. 65. Shibata S. 3. Kielb J. (C) 26. Michalski K. 10. Zurawski M. 21. Adamski R.
Substitutes
17. Alfaro J. 77. Baena Perez A. 20. Dziedzic K. 21. Gogol P. 50. Kutwa M. 26. Lasicki I. 28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 54. Wisniewski K. 99. Zwolinski L.	9. Firlej M. 7. Gaska D. 15. Mackowiak M. 70. Markov I. 23. Pawlowski S. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 42. Przybylak L. (G) 17. Sarbinowski S. 77. Walus F.
Coaches
Moskal K.	Klepczarek P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Tkachuk Y. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 1, Michalski K. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Zurawski M. ↓, Gaska D. ↑,
58', Adamski R. ↓, Firlej M. ↑,
58', Sukiennicki O. ↓, Alfaro J. ↑,
58', Almeida Duarte F. F. P. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
62', Michalski K. 🟨,
68', Grobelny J. 🟨,
74', Mikulec R. 🟨,
74', Igbekeme J. ↓, Gogol P. ↑,
79', Firlej M. 🟨,
82', Shibata S. ↓, Pawlowski S. ↑,
84', Rodado A. 🟨,
84', Mikulec R. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
84', Starzynski P. ↓, Dziedzic K. ↑,
90+4', Tkachuk Y. ↓, Plesnierowicz W. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Recent matches Wisła is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Warta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Wisła is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wisła won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Wisła won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
01.09.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.08.24	Cercle Brugge - Wisła Kraków	1:4 ✺
22.08.24	Wisła Kraków - Cercle Brugge	1:6 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.08.24	Wisła Kraków - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Wisła Kraków - Spartak Trnava	4:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 TWLTW
- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
31.08.24	Warta Poznań - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	Polonia Warsaw - Warta Poznań	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	2:4 ✺
17.08.24	Stal Rzeszów - Warta Poznań	4:0 ✺
10.08.24	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
21.05.22	Wisła Kraków - Warta Poznań	0:1
06.12.21	Warta Poznań - Wisła Kraków	1:1
17.04.21	Wisła Kraków - Warta Poznań	0:1
21.11.20	Warta Poznań - Wisła Kraków	2:1
Club Friendly
13.07.12	Warta Poznań - Wisła Kraków	N/A

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