Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 14

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app


	Wisła Płock		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.35
	2.8	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.83	3.45	2.46
	2.79	3.43	2.41
	2.7	3.3	2.3
	2.76	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.33)	3.38 ↓ (3.46)	2.38 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
33.6%

Draw
27.4%

Wisła Kraków
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

27.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wisła Płock's form might have worsened.

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisła Płock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Kraków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wisła Płock - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gostomski M. (G) 44. Haglind-Sangre M. 19. Edmundsson A. 77. Szymanski J. 24. Niepsuj D. 18. Jimenez J. 14. Kun D. 6. Pomorski K. 16. Hiszpanski F. 37. Tomczyk O. 20. Sekulski L. (C)	28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 25. Jaroch B. 97. Biedrzycki W. 50. Kutwa M. 30. Kiakos G. 8. Carbo M. 12. Igbekeme J. 77. Baena Perez A. 9. Rodado A. (C) 17. Alfaro J. 99. Zwolinski L.
Substitutes
27. Borowski B. 21. Brzozowski M. 11. Famulak M. 99. Gradecki B. (G) 22. Krawczyk P. 91. Kuchko G. 3. Kukulka K. 17. Misiak P. 66. Salvador I.	10. Almeida Duarte F. F. P. 31. Chichkan A. (G) 20. Dziedzic K. 13. Kiss T. 51. Kuziemka M. 26. Lasicki I. 75. Skrobanski K. 19. Sukiennicki O. 43. Szot D.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Jop M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Hiszpanski F. 🟨,
34', Carbo M. ↓, Sukiennicki O. ↑,
35', Pomorski K. 🟨,
37', Sekulski L. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Rodado A. ⚽, Zwolinski L. (A),
42', Edmundsson A. 🟨,
45+3', Igbekeme J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Niepsuj D. ↓, Misiak P. ↑,
46', Hiszpanski F. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Rodado A. ⚽, Kiakos G. (A),
59', Sukiennicki O. 🟨,
65', Haglind-Sangre M. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
71', Igbekeme J. 🟨,
74', Pomorski K. ↓, Famulak M. ↑,
77', Baena Perez A. ↓, Kiss T. ↑,
78', Jaroch B. 🟨,
81', Tomczyk O. ↓, Borowski B. ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Kiss T. ⚽, Zwolinski L. (A),
90', Kiakos G. ↓, Szot D. ↑,
90', Alfaro J. ↓, Almeida Duarte F. F. P. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 3, Krawczyk P. ⚽, Misiak P. (A),
90+7', Salvador I. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
19.10.24	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	4:1 ✺
30.09.24	ŁKS Łódź - Wisła Płock	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Wisła Płock - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
20.09.24	Wisła Płock - Stal Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWLT
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
22.10.24	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Kraków	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Wisła Kraków - Termalica Nieciecza	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
12.10.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wisła Kraków	2:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
05.10.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Kraków	1:3 ✺
27.09.24	Wisła Kraków - Odra Opole	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
13.04.24	Wisła Płock - Wisła Kraków	1:1
01.10.23	Wisła Kraków - Wisła Płock	0:0
Club Friendly
14.01.23	Wisła Płock - Wisła Kraków	1:5
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.04.22	Wisła Kraków - Wisła Płock	3:4
31.10.21	Wisła Płock - Wisła Kraków	2:0
28.02.21	Wisła Płock - Wisła Kraków	1:3
18.09.20	Wisła Kraków - Wisła Płock	0:3

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