Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	Wisła Płock		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	3.75
	1.8	3.7	3.7
	1.78	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.83	3.95	4.13
	1.81	3.95	4.13
	1.7	3.6	3.8
	1.78	3.82	3.92
	1.76	3.9	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.71)	3.81 ↑ (3.68)	3.93 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
52.1%

Draw
24.3%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.8%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

23.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gradecki B. (G) 24. Niepsuj D. 4. Chrzanowski A. 77. Szymanski J. 16. Hiszpanski F. 8. Gric J. 14. Szwoch M. 32. Gerbowski F. 5. Czajka B. 20. Sekulski L. (C) 9. Kocyla D.	33. Kos M. (G) 96. Calinski P. 2. Bykov O. 27. Jonczy D. 29. Rozwandowicz M. (C) 16. Ryndak D. 18. Guezen D. 14. Bonecki S. 17. Valencia J. 95. Zielonka N. 11. Fabry M.
Substitutes
37. Chrupalla P. 7. Cielemecki R. 10. Janus K. 70. Laskowski K. 23. Lesniak F. 28. Szczutowski A. 19. Thiakane E. 15. Vallo K. 98. Zielinski P. (G)	28. Bebenek K. 9. Bilinski K. 10. Camara J. 13. Dalic V. 20. Klups T. 4. Machala M. 1. Sorcan G. (G) 88. Troc A. 19. Ziemann M.
Coaches
Zuraw D.	Derbin A.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wisła Płock won 3.

Wisła Płock is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Wisła Płock have a series of home games.

In this match Wisła Płock is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Wisła Płock won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Wisła Płock won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
09.12.23	Wisła Płock - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Wisła Płock - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Wisła Płock - Odra Opole	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
27.10.23	Wisła Płock - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWTW
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
08.12.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Motor Lublin	0:4 ✺
26.11.23	Miedź Legnica - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Arka Gdynia	1:3 ✺
03.11.23	Wisła Kraków - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
31.10.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Górnik Zabrze	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
29.07.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Wisła Płock	1:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.05.19	Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0
13.04.19	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Wisła Płock	1:3
10.11.18	Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0
Polish Division 1
22.11.15	Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:1
02.08.15	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Wisła Płock	0:1

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