Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.2
	3.5	3.6	2
	3.5	3.5	2.12
	3.47	3.51	2.2
	3.40	3.42	2.09	Watch
	3.72	3.6	2.14	Watch
	3.45	3.55	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.55)	3.51 ↓ (3.68)	2.11 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
27.4%

Draw
27.3%

Brighton & Hove Albion
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

25.8%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

25.5%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.2%	16.7%	57.1%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Wolverhampton will win (votes: 11 - 26.2%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 24 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 42.1% – 72.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Wolverhampton (1.83) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Wolverhampton (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Johnstone S. (G) 38. Tchatchoua J. 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 3. Bueno H. 5. Munetsi M. 7. Andre 8. Joao Gomes (C) 10. Arias J. 9. Larsen J. S. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 27. Wieffer M. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 17. Baleba C. 26. Ayari Y. 8. Gruda B. 25. Gomez D. 11. Minteh Y. 18. Welbeck D.
Substitutes
12. Agbadou E. 14. Arokodare T. 27. Bellegarde J. 21. Gomes R. 26. Hoever K. 28. Lopez F. 15. Mosquera Y. 1. Sa J. (G) 6. Wolfe D. M.	21. Boscagli O. 42. Coppola D. 29. De Cuyper M. 19. Kostoulas C. 20. Milner J. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 9. Tzimas S. 14. Watson T.
Coaches
Pereira V.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Baleba C. 🟨,
20', Pereira V. 🟥,
21', 1 - 0, Verbruggen B. (Own goal), Munetsi M. (A),
36', Dunk L. 🟨,
43', Wieffer M. 🟨,
45+2', Welbeck D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Baleba C. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
51', Bueno S. 🟨,
61', Hwang Hee-Chan ↓, Agbadou E. ↑,
70', Gruda B. ↓, Tzimas S. ↑,
71', Wieffer M. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
77', Larsen J. S. ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,
77', Bueno S. ↓, Wolfe D. M. ↑,
77', Gomez D. ↓, Milner J. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, van Hecke J. P. ⚽, Tzimas S. (A),
90+1', Munetsi M. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
90+1', Joao Gomes ↓, Mosquera Y. ↑,
90+7', Andre 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 1.

Wolverhampton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brighton & Hove is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brighton & Hove will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Hinshelwood J. (Ankle Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Veltman J. (Calf Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Toti (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.6:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Wolverhampton Wanderers - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 26.79%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
27.09.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLLL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
27.09.25	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Barnsley - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:6 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
10.05.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2
26.10.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2
English League Cup
18.09.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:2
English FA Cup
28.02.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0
English Premier League
22.01.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0
19.08.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:4
29.04.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers	6:0

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