Match Info

Premier League - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Fulham

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.9	1.9
	3.8	3.6	1.93
	4.05	3.85	1.88
	4.12	3.89	1.91
	3.83	3.69	2	Watch
	3.8	3.7	1.85
	4.12	4.02	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.5)	3.81 ↑ (3.78)	1.91 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
24.5%

Draw
25.3%

Fulham
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

25.4%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

24.5%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.3%	20%	56.7%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Fulham Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Wolverhampton will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Fulham will win (votes: 16 - 55.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 37.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 1 - 50%). Fulham (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sa J. (C) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 21. Gomes R. 8. Joao Gomes 7. Andre 6. Wolfe D. M. 9. Armstrong A. 36. Mane M. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan	1. Leno B. (C) 21. Castagne T. 31. Diop I. 3. Bassey C. 33. Robinson A. 20. Lukic S. 16. Berge S. 14. Bobb O. 32. Smith Rowe E. 17. Iwobi A. 9. Rodrigo Muniz
Substitutes
14. Arokodare T. 27. Bellegarde J. 25. Bentley D. (G) 3. Bueno H. 74. Edozie T. 47. Gomes A. 17. Pedro Lima 38. Tchatchoua J. 24. Toti	10. Cairney T. 19. Chukwueze S. 15. Cuenca J. 7. Jimenez R. 22. Kevin 24. King J. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 2. Tete K. 8. Wilson H.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Mane M. ⚽, Hwang Hee-Chan (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, Robinson A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Berge S. ↓, Kevin ↑,
67', Rodrigo Muniz ↓, Jimenez R. ↑,
67', Iwobi A. ↓, King J. ↑,
72', Armstrong A. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
79', Smith Rowe E. ↓, Wilson H. ↑,
79', Bobb O. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
79', Hwang Hee-Chan ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,
85', Gomes R. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
85', Wolfe D. M. ↓, Bueno H. ↑,
90+4', Andre 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 11).

Wolverhampton is Relegated to Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 2.

Wolverhampton has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fulham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fulham might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez E. (Knee Injury) Johnstone S. (Knock)

There will not play in Fulham: Andersen J. (Red Card) Sessegnon R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Fulham: Iwobi A. (Injury) Jimenez R. (Suspended)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Fulham	6	0	2	4	6:10	-4	2

Last Results with these Odds

Wolverhampton Wanderers - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 27.46%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
09.05.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Fulham FC
English Premier League
09.05.26	Fulham - Bournemouth	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Arsenal - Fulham	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Fulham - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Brentford - Fulham	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Liverpool - Fulham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
01.11.25	Fulham - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0
25.02.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Fulham	1:2
23.11.24	Fulham - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:4
09.03.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Fulham	2:1
27.11.23	Fulham - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:2
24.02.23	Fulham - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
13.08.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Fulham	0:0

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