Match Info

Premier League - Round 34

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fulham		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.45
	2.7	3.5	2.5
	2.75	3.6	2.5
	2.83	3.7	2.51
	2.73	3.7	2.53	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.45
	2.84	3.74	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.69)	3.61 ↓ (3.7)	2.5 (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
34.9%

Draw
26.6%

Aston Villa
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

25.9%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	44.8%	41.4%

Fulham - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 46.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.9% – 64.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Fulham (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 1 - 50%). Aston Villa (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leno B. (G) 21. Castagne T. 5. Andersen J. (C) 3. Bassey C. 30. Sessegnon R. 20. Lukic S. 16. Berge S. 8. Wilson H. 32. Smith Rowe E. 19. Chukwueze S. 7. Jimenez R.	23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 14. Torres P. 12. Digne L. 26. Bogarde L. 8. Tielemans Y. 7. McGinn J. (C) 27. Rogers M. 10. Buendia E. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
14. Bobb O. 10. Cairney T. 31. Diop I. 24. King J. 18. Kusi Asare J. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 6. Reed H. 33. Robinson A. 9. Rodrigo Muniz	18. Abraham T. 31. Bailey L. 6. Barkley R. 40. Bizot M. (G) 21. Douglas Luiz 3. Lindelof V. 22. Maatsen I. 5. Mings T. 19. Sancho J.
Coaches
Silva M.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Sessegnon R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Castagne T. 🟨,
50', Torres P. 🟨,
66', Jimenez R. ↓, Rodrigo Muniz ↑,
74', McGinn J. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
74', Buendia E. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
74', Tielemans Y. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
74', Bogarde L. ↓, Douglas Luiz ↑,
76', Smith Rowe E. ↓, King J. ↑,
76', Chukwueze S. ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
81', Sessegnon R. ↓, Robinson A. ↑,
81', Watkins O. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
90+1', Wilson H. 🟨,
90+4', Douglas Luiz 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 0.

In recent matches, Fulham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aston Villa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Fulham: Kevin (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Kamara B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fulham: Iwobi A. (Injury) Tete K. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Abraham T. (Shoulder Injury) Alysson (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fulham won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Aston Villa	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5
20	Fulham	6	0	2	4	6:10	-4	2

Last Results with these Odds

Fulham - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 35.68%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
18.04.26	Brentford - Fulham	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Liverpool - Fulham	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Fulham - Burnley	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Nottingham Forest - Fulham	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.03.26	Fulham - Southampton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWTL
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
19.04.26	Aston Villa - Sunderland	4:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Aston Villa - Bologna	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Bologna - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Aston Villa - Elche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
28.09.25	Aston Villa - Fulham	3:1
03.05.25	Aston Villa - Fulham	1:0
19.10.24	Fulham - Aston Villa	1:3
17.02.24	Fulham - Aston Villa	1:2
12.11.23	Aston Villa - Fulham	3:1
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Fulham - Aston Villa	0:2
English Premier League
25.04.23	Aston Villa - Fulham	1:0

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