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Arsenal - Fulham

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 35
  • Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Emirates Stadium (London) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • CountryKick-OffTV Channels
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    Arsenal Fulham
    Arsenal Fulham
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 1.48 ↑
    (1.44)    		 4.44 ↓
    (4.76)    		 7.07 ↓
    (7.41)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Arsenal
    64.9%    		Draw
    21.6%    		Fulham
    13.5%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    66.8% 20.2% 13%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    70.5% 17.9% 11.6%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    80.7% 8.8% 10.5%

    Arsenal - Fulham Predictions

  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Arsenal (1.76) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (46 of 56 users predict this - 82.14%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% โ€“ 92.17%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Fulham (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SpainRaya D. (G)
      4. EnglandWhite B.
      2. FranceSaliba W.
      6. BrazilGabriel
    33. ItalyCalafiori R.
    41. EnglandRice D.
    49. EnglandLewis-Skelly M.
      7. EnglandSaka B. (C)
    10. EnglandEze E.
    19. BelgiumTrossard L.
    14. SwedenGyรถkeres V.
    		  1. GermanyLeno B. (G)
    21. BelgiumCastagne T.
      5. DenmarkAndersen J.
      3. NigeriaBassey C.
    33. USARobinson A.
      6. EnglandReed H. (C)
    20. SerbiaLukic S.
      8. WalesWilson H.
    32. EnglandSmith Rowe E.
    19. NigeriaChukwueze S.
      7. MexicoJimenez R.
    Substitutes
    13. SpainArrizabalaga K. (G)
    56. EnglandDowman M.
      9. BrazilGabriel Jesus
      5. EcuadorHincapie P.
    20. EnglandMadueke N.
    11. BrazilMartinelli G.
      3. SpainMosquera C.
    16. DenmarkNorgaard C.
    36. SpainZubimendi M.
    		14. NorwayBobb O.
    10. ScotlandCairney T.
    15. SpainCuenca J.
    31. MoroccoDiop I.
    24. EnglandKing J.
    18. SwedenKusi Asare J.
    23. FranceLecomte B. (G)
      9. BrazilRodrigo Muniz
      2. NetherlandsTete K.
    Coaches
         SpainArteta M.
    		     PortugalSilva M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (3 - 0)
    • 9', 1 - 0, Gyรถkeres V. ⚽, Saka B. (A),
    • 23', Lukic S. 🟨,
    • 40', 2 - 0, Saka B. ⚽, Gyรถkeres V. (A),
    • 45+4', 3 - 0, Gyรถkeres V. ⚽, Trossard L. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 46', Saka B. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
    • 63', Reed H. ↓, Cairney T. ↑,
    • 64', Chukwueze S. ↓, King J. ↑,
    • 64', Wilson H. ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
    • 64', Rice D. ↓, Zubimendi M. ↑,
    • 64', Gyรถkeres V. ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
    • 73', Jimenez R. ↓, Rodrigo Muniz ↑,
    • 78', Eze E. ↓, Dowman M. ↑,
    • 78', Smith Rowe E. ↓, Kusi Asare J. ↑,
    • 83', White B. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,

    Preview

  • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
  • Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 2.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Arsenal is the undisputed favorite.
  • There will not play in Arsenal: Merino M. (Foot Injury) Timber J. (Ankle Injury)
  • There will not play in Fulham: Iwobi A. (Injury) Kevin (Foot Injury) Sessegnon R. (Hamstring Injury)
  • There are questionable in Arsenal: Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Odegaard M. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Fulham: Tete K. (Foot Injury)
  • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:14. (average 2.3:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2.3:1.3).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    2Arsenal870113:5821
    15Fulham82248:10-28

    Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Arsenal: 62.36% Fulham: 0.22%
    Last Results with these Odds

    Arsenal - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 66.81%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Arsenal FC
    UEFA Champions League
    29.04.26 Atlรฉtico Madrid - Arsenal 1:1 ✺
    English Premier League
    25.04.26 Arsenal - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    19.04.26 Manchester City - Arsenal 2:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    15.04.26 Arsenal - Sporting Lisbon 0:0 ✺
    English Premier League
    11.04.26 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8
    TWLTL
    - Fulham FC
    English Premier League
    25.04.26 Fulham - Aston Villa 1:0 ✺
    18.04.26 Brentford - Fulham 0:0 ✺
    11.04.26 Liverpool - Fulham 2:0 ✺
    21.03.26 Fulham - Burnley 3:1 ✺
    15.03.26 Nottingham Forest - Fulham 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3
    WTLWT
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    18.10.25 Fulham - Arsenal 0:1
    01.04.25 Arsenal - Fulham 2:1
    08.12.24 Fulham - Arsenal 1:1
    31.12.23 Fulham - Arsenal 2:1
    26.08.23 Arsenal - Fulham 2:2
    12.03.23 Fulham - Arsenal 0:3
    27.08.22 Arsenal - Fulham 2:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Arsenal FC
    UEFA Champions League
    04.11.26 Slavia Prague - Arsenal ✺
    English Premier League
    01.11.26 Liverpool - Arsenal ✺
    - Fulham FC
    English Premier League
    31.10.26 Aston Villa - Fulham ✺

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