Match Info

Premier League - Round 35

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Emirates Stadium (London)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
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Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
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Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Arsenal		Fulham

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7
	1.47	4.4	6.75
	1.48	4.4	7
	1.48	4.55	7.4
	1.48	4.47	7.61	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6.5
	1.53	4.53	7.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.44)	4.44 ↓ (4.76)	7.07 ↓ (7.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
64.9%

Draw
21.6%

Fulham
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

20.2%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

19.1%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.7%	8.8%	10.5%

Arsenal - Fulham Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Arsenal (1.76) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (46 of 56 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% – 92.17%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Fulham (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 33. Calafiori R. 41. Rice D. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 7. Saka B. (C) 10. Eze E. 19. Trossard L. 14. Gyökeres V.	1. Leno B. (G) 21. Castagne T. 5. Andersen J. 3. Bassey C. 33. Robinson A. 6. Reed H. (C) 20. Lukic S. 8. Wilson H. 32. Smith Rowe E. 19. Chukwueze S. 7. Jimenez R.
Substitutes
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 56. Dowman M. 9. Gabriel Jesus 5. Hincapie P. 20. Madueke N. 11. Martinelli G. 3. Mosquera C. 16. Norgaard C. 36. Zubimendi M.	14. Bobb O. 10. Cairney T. 15. Cuenca J. 31. Diop I. 24. King J. 18. Kusi Asare J. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 9. Rodrigo Muniz 2. Tete K.
Coaches
Arteta M.	Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Gyökeres V. ⚽, Saka B. (A),
23', Lukic S. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Saka B. ⚽, Gyökeres V. (A),
45+4', 3 - 0, Gyökeres V. ⚽, Trossard L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Saka B. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
63', Reed H. ↓, Cairney T. ↑,
64', Chukwueze S. ↓, King J. ↑,
64', Wilson H. ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
64', Rice D. ↓, Zubimendi M. ↑,
64', Gyökeres V. ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
73', Jimenez R. ↓, Rodrigo Muniz ↑,
78', Eze E. ↓, Dowman M. ↑,
78', Smith Rowe E. ↓, Kusi Asare J. ↑,
83', White B. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).

Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arsenal is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal: Merino M. (Foot Injury) Timber J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Fulham: Iwobi A. (Injury) Kevin (Foot Injury) Sessegnon R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Odegaard M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fulham: Tete K. (Foot Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:14. (average 2.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2.3:1.3).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 60.13% Fulham: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8:4	4	12
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5:8	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 66.81%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
UEFA Champions League
29.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
25.04.26	Arsenal - Newcastle United	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Manchester City - Arsenal	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.04.26	Arsenal - Sporting Lisbon	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
11.04.26	Arsenal - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLTL
- Fulham FC
English Premier League
25.04.26	Fulham - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Brentford - Fulham	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Liverpool - Fulham	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Fulham - Burnley	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Nottingham Forest - Fulham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
18.10.25	Fulham - Arsenal	0:1
01.04.25	Arsenal - Fulham	2:1
08.12.24	Fulham - Arsenal	1:1
31.12.23	Fulham - Arsenal	2:1
26.08.23	Arsenal - Fulham	2:2
12.03.23	Fulham - Arsenal	0:3
27.08.22	Arsenal - Fulham	2:1

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