Match Info

Premier League - Round 35

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.95
	3	3.3	2.35
	3.65	3.55	2.05
	3.79	3.63	2.04
	3.77	3.48	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.95
	3.95	3.7	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.04)	3.51 ↑ (3.46)	2.06 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
26.2%

Draw
27.3%

Sunderland
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

28%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wolverhampton Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolverhampton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	23.8%	61.9%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Wolverhampton will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Sunderland will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bentley D. (G) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 24. Toti (C) 17. Pedro Lima 7. Andre 8. Joao Gomes 3. Bueno H. 36. Mane M. 9. Armstrong A. 14. Arokodare T.	22. Roefs R. (G) 20. Mukiele N. 5. Ballard D. 15. Alderete O. 17. Mandava R. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 32. Hume T. 7. Talbi C. 28. Le Fee E. 9. Brobbey B.
Substitutes
27. Bellegarde J. 2. Doherty M. 74. Edozie T. 47. Gomes A. 21. Gomes R. 70. Gracey J. (G) 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 38. Tchatchoua J. 6. Wolfe D. M.	37. Bi J. T. 3. Cirkin D. 19. Diarra H. 31. Ellborg M. (G) 6. Geertruida L. 18. Isidor W. 12. Mayenda E. 13. O'Nien L. 11. Rigg C.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Mukiele N. ⚽, Xhaka G. (A),
24', Ballard D. 🟥,
45+2', Brobbey B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pedro Lima ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Bueno S. ⚽, Bueno H. (A),
56', Xhaka G. 🟨,
72', Sadiki N. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
72', Mandava R. ↓, Cirkin D. ↑,
72', Brobbey B. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
78', Bueno H. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
81', Cirkin D. 🟨,
90+2', Roefs R. 🟨,
90+3', Arokodare T. ↓, Edozie T. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 12).

Wolverhampton is Relegated to Championship

Wolverhampton has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sunderland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wolverhampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sunderland could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez E. (Knee Injury) Johnstone S. (Knock)

There will not play in Sunderland: Bi J. T. (Ankle Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Krejci L. (Neck Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Angulo N. (Muscle Injury) Traore B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Wolverhampton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Sunderland: 0.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
25.04.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:0 ✺
16.03.26	Brentford - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTL
- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
24.04.26	Sunderland - Nottingham Forest	0:5 ✺
19.04.26	Aston Villa - Sunderland	4:3 ✺
12.04.26	Sunderland - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Newcastle United - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
18.10.25	Sunderland - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0
English League Championship
06.05.18	Sunderland - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0
09.12.17	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Sunderland	0:0
English Premier League
14.04.12	Sunderland - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0

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