Match Info

Premier League - Round 33

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Elland Road (Leeds) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Bangladesh	20:00	Toffee Live
Belgium	16:00	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	10:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	09:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Ecuador	09:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	16:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6
Germany	16:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	16:00	Spiler2 TV
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport 4
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar, JioTV app, Sony LIV, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Ireland	15:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Italy	16:00	Sky Sport 251
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	20:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 3
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Sooka
Maldives	19:00	Medianet
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	08:00	HBO Max
Mongolia	22:00	Premier Sports 1
Nepal	19:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	15:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	19:00	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	10:00	ESPN
Peru	09:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	22:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 3
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Thailand	21:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	NBC, Peacock, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	21:00	FPT Play
International	14:00	Sport 24 Extra


	Leeds United		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.5
	1.52	4.3	6.7
	1.53	4.4	7.1
	1.57	4.22	6.41	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6
	1.56	4.31	6.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)	4.22 ↑ (3.96)	6.51 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
62.6%

Draw
22.7%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
14.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.3%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leeds United's performance.

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	14.5%	2.9%

Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Leeds (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Leeds United will win (56 of 68 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.29% – 91.41%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leeds United will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 9 - 90%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Darlow K. (G) 24. Justin J. 15. Bijol J. 5. Struijk P. 2. Bogle J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 22. Tanaka A. 3. Gudmundsson G. 11. Aaronson B. 19. Okafor N. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.	25. Bentley D. (G) 4. Bueno S. 24. Toti (C) 37. Krejci L. 38. Tchatchoua J. 7. Andre 8. Joao Gomes 3. Bueno H. 27. Bellegarde J. 47. Gomes A. 9. Armstrong A.
Substitutes
23. Bornauw S. 40. Buonanotte F. 29. Gnonto W. 44. Gruev I. 8. Longstaff S. 1. Lucas Perri (G) 14. Nmecha L. 10. Piroe J. 6. Rodon J.	14. Arokodare T. 40. Brooks A. (G) 74. Edozie T. 21. Gomes R. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 36. Mane M. 59. Olagunju S. 17. Pedro Lima 6. Wolfe D. M.
Coaches
Farke D.	Edwards R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Justin J. ⚽, Okafor N. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Okafor N. ⚽, Aaronson B. (A),
38', Gomes A. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tchatchoua J. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
67', Okafor N. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
67', Bellegarde J. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
73', Aaronson B. 🟨,
75', Krejci L. ↓, Hwang Hee-Chan ↑,
78', Aaronson B. ↓, Gruev I. ↑,
90+3', Bueno H. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 0, Calvert-Lewin D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Tanaka A. ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
90+6', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Rodon J. ↑,
90+6', Calvert-Lewin D. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
90+12', Justin J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 4.

Leeds is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wolverhampton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leeds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leeds is the team to beat.

There will not play in Leeds: James D. (Muscle Injury) Rodon J. (Ankle Injury) Stach A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez E. (Knee Injury) Mosquera Y. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Doherty M. (Inactive) Johnstone S. (Knock)

We predict that Leeds will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Leeds	8	2	5	1	9:6	3	11

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Leeds: 0.59%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English Premier League
13.04.26	Manchester United - Leeds United	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.04.26	West Ham United - Leeds United	2:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League
21.03.26	Leeds United - Brentford	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Crystal Palace - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.03.26	Leeds United - Norwich City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWTTW
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
10.04.26	West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:0 ✺
16.03.26	Brentford - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
03.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
20.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	1:3
18.03.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	2:4
English League Cup
09.11.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	1:0
English Premier League
06.08.22	Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1
18.03.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	2:3
23.10.21	Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
19.02.21	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	1:0

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