Match Info

Premier League - Round 33

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leeds United		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.5
	1.52	4.3	6.7
	1.53	4.4	7.1
	1.57	4.22	6.41	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6
	1.56	4.31	6.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)	4.22 ↑ (3.96)	6.51 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
62.6%

Draw
22.7%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.3%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leeds United's performance.

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	14.5%	2.9%

Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Leeds (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Leeds United will win (56 of 68 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.29% – 91.41%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leeds United will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 9 - 90%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Darlow K. (G) 24. Justin J. 15. Bijol J. 5. Struijk P. 2. Bogle J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 22. Tanaka A. 3. Gudmundsson G. 11. Aaronson B. 19. Okafor N. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.	25. Bentley D. (G) 4. Bueno S. 24. Toti (C) 37. Krejci L. 38. Tchatchoua J. 7. Andre 8. Joao Gomes 3. Bueno H. 27. Bellegarde J. 47. Gomes A. 9. Armstrong A.
Substitutes
23. Bornauw S. 40. Buonanotte F. 29. Gnonto W. 44. Gruev I. 8. Longstaff S. 1. Lucas Perri (G) 14. Nmecha L. 10. Piroe J. 6. Rodon J.	14. Arokodare T. 40. Brooks A. (G) 74. Edozie T. 21. Gomes R. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 36. Mane M. 59. Olagunju S. 17. Pedro Lima 6. Wolfe D. M.
Coaches
Farke D.	Edwards R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Justin J. ⚽, Okafor N. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Okafor N. ⚽, Aaronson B. (A),
38', Gomes A. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tchatchoua J. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
67', Okafor N. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
67', Bellegarde J. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
73', Aaronson B. 🟨,
75', Krejci L. ↓, Hwang Hee-Chan ↑,
78', Aaronson B. ↓, Gruev I. ↑,
90+3', Bueno H. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 0, Calvert-Lewin D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Tanaka A. ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
90+6', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Rodon J. ↑,
90+6', Calvert-Lewin D. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
90+12', Justin J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 4.

Leeds is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wolverhampton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leeds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leeds is the team to beat.

There will not play in Leeds: James D. (Muscle Injury) Rodon J. (Ankle Injury) Stach A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez E. (Knee Injury) Mosquera Y. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Doherty M. (Inactive) Johnstone S. (Knock)

We predict that Leeds will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Leeds: 0.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7:3	4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English Premier League
13.04.26	Manchester United - Leeds United	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.04.26	West Ham United - Leeds United	2:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League
21.03.26	Leeds United - Brentford	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Crystal Palace - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.03.26	Leeds United - Norwich City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWTTW
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
10.04.26	West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:0 ✺
16.03.26	Brentford - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
03.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
20.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	1:3
18.03.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	2:4
English League Cup
09.11.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	1:0
English Premier League
06.08.22	Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1
18.03.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	2:3
23.10.21	Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
19.02.21	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	1:0

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