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Manchester United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, December 30, 2025)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Spiler1 TV
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Malaysia	Astro Premier League 2
Mexico	HBO Max
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 3
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	Hub Premier 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+ Sport 2, K+, TV 360


	Manchester United		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	7.5
	1.36	5.4	8.2
	1.4	5.28	7.93	Watch
	1.33	4.8	8
	1.41	5.23	8.5	Watch
	1.37	5.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.33)	5.22 ↓ (5.35)	7.94 ↓ (8.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
69.6%

Draw
18.3%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

17.7%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.1%

16.9%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.1%	6.1%	9.8%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.25 - Wolverhampton (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.75 - Man Utd (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (69 of 81 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.45% – 92.93%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (31 of 37 users predict this - 83.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 42 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 32 - 76.2%). Wolverhampton (votes: 7 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lammens S. (G) 2. Dalot D. 26. Heaven A. 6. Martinez Li. (C) 23. Shaw L. 18. Casemiro 25. Ugarte M. 13. Dorgu P. 11. Zirkzee J. 10. Cunha M. 30. Sesko B.	1. Sa J. (G) 15. Mosquera Y. 2. Doherty M. (C) 37. Krejci L. 38. Tchatchoua J. 10. Arias J. 8. Joao Gomes 36. Mane M. 3. Bueno H. 14. Arokodare T. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan
Substitutes
1. Bayindir A. (G) 38. Fletcher J. 39. Fletcher T. 33. Fredricson T. 61. Lacey S. 12. Malacia T. 70. Mantato B. 32. Obi C. 15. Yoro L.	30. Gonzalez E. 26. Hoever K. 31. Johnstone S. (G) 9. Larsen J. S. 28. Lopez F. 57. Ojinnaka T. 59. Olagunju S. 60. Sutherland E. 6. Wolfe D. M.
Coaches
Amorim R.	Edwards R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Zirkzee J. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Krejci L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zirkzee J. ↓, Fletcher J. ↑,
63', Tchatchoua J. 🟨,
65', Arokodare T. ↓, Larsen J. S. ↑,
75', Heaven A. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,
75', Ugarte M. ↓, Mantato B. ↑,
88', Hwang Hee-Chan ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
90+5', Arias J. ↓, Wolfe D. M. ↑,
90+5', Larsen J. S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 3.

Man Utd has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wolverhampton has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wolverhampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Man Utd is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Diallo A. (International duty) Fernandes B. (Thigh Injury) Maguire H. (Hamstring Injury) Mainoo K. (Calf Injury) Mazraoui N. (International duty) Mbeumo B. (International duty)

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Agbadou E. (International duty) Andre (Yellow Cards) Bellegarde J. (Hamstring Injury) Bentley D. (Ankle Injury) Chirewa T. (International duty) Chiwome L. (Knee Injury) Gomes R. (Groin Injury) Munetsi M. (Calf Injury) Toti (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Mount M. (Injury) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 0.8:0.4).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
26.12.25	Manchester United - Newcastle United	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Aston Villa - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
15.12.25	Manchester United - Bournemouth	4:4 ✺
08.12.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	1:4 ✺
04.12.25	Manchester United - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWT
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
27.12.25	Liverpool - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brentford	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
08.12.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	1:4 ✺
03.12.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
08.12.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	1:4
20.04.25	Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1
26.12.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	2:0
01.02.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	3:4
14.08.23	Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0
13.05.23	Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0
31.12.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	0:1

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