Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton)

Referee: Bond D. (Eng)

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	Brighton & Hove Albion		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	10
	1.29	6	9.75
	1.27	6.2	12	Watch
	1.27	5.79	11.29	Watch
	1.3	5.5	10
	1.3	6.01	11.4	Watch
	1.27	6.2	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)	5.96 ↑ (5.36)	10.92 ↑ (8.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
75%

Draw
16.1%

Leicester City
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

18%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

16.8%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	5.3%	7.9%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Leicester City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Leicester (3.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Leicester (2.04) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brighton & Hove Albion will win (33 of 38 users predict this - 86.84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.09% – 97.59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Leicester (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 41. Hinshelwood J. 5. Dunk L. (C) 20. Baleba C. 30. Estupinan P. 33. O'Riley M. 26. Ayari Y. 17. Minteh Y. 9. Joao Pedro 11. Adingra S. 18. Welbeck D.	30. Hermansen M. (G) 2. Justin J. 5. Okoli C. 4. Coady C. 33. Thomas L. 6. Ndidi W. 24. Soumare B. 35. McAteer K. 11. El Khannouss B. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Vardy J. (C)
Substitutes
16. Cashin E. 25. Gomez D. 8. Gruda B. 72. Howell H. 7. March S. 39. Rushworth C. (G) 71. Simmonds F. 60. Tasker C. 27. Wieffer M.	77. Aluko O. 18. Ayew J. 25. Coulibaly W. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 91. Evans J. 21. Pereira R. 22. Skipp O. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G)
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	van Nistelrooy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
29', Coady C. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro (Pen),
31', Hermansen M. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Mavididi S. ⚽,
45+1', Estupinan P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, Joao Pedro (Pen),
61', Vardy J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
61', Thomas L. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
61', Ndidi W. ↓, Skipp O. ↑,
63', Okoli C. 🟨,
68', Skipp O. 🟨,
70', O'Riley M. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
70', Minteh Y. ↓, March S. ↑,
71', Dunk L. 🟨,
74', 2 - 2, Okoli C. ⚽, El Khannouss B. (A),
82', Adingra S. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
90+3', Mavididi S. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
90+8', McAteer K. ↓, Evans J. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brighton & Hove won 1.

Brighton & Hove is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leicester has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leicester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brighton & Hove is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Igor (Thigh Injury) Kadioglu F. (Toe Injury) Lamptey T. (Ankle Injury) Milner J. (Thigh Injury) Rutter G. (Ankle Injury) Steele J. (Shoulder Injury) Veltman J. (Ankle Injury) Webster A. (Thigh Injury) van Hecke J. P. (Red Card)

There will not play in Leicester: Buonanotte F. (Loan agreement) Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Souttar H. (Ankle Injury) Winks H. (Coach's decision)

There are questionable in Leicester: Faes W. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Brighton & Hove won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 26:30 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Brighton & Hove won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
05.04.25	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
29.03.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	0:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
15.03.25	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLTW
- Leicester City
English Premier League
07.04.25	Leicester City - Newcastle United	0:3 ✺
02.04.25	Manchester City - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Leicester City - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Chelsea - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
27.02.25	West Ham United - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
08.12.24	Leicester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2
21.01.23	Leicester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2
04.09.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leicester City	5:2
23.01.22	Leicester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
English League Cup
27.10.21	Leicester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:2 penalties
English Premier League
19.09.21	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leicester City	2:1
06.03.21	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leicester City	1:2

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