Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 29

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport PSL
Albania	SuperSport 4
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Armenia	Fast Sports
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Australia	Optus Sport
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Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
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Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Fotbool
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
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Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
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Poland	CANAL+ Premium, Viaplay
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Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
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Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra, Sport 24 International
Uruguay	Disney+
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Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON
World	Disney+


	Leicester City		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.6	1.9
	4.1	3.7	1.83
	4.1	3.7	1.95	Watch
	4.25	3.85	1.86
	4.25	3.56	1.93	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.91
	4.12	3.76	1.93	Watch
	4.1	3.7	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (4.45)	3.68 ↓ (4.02)	1.91 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Telemundo (KSIX/KHNLDT6 – Honolulu, HI)

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
23.4%

Draw
26.1%

Manchester United
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

23.9%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

24.1%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.2%	8%	82.8%

Leicester City - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (71 of 86 users predict this - 82.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.54% – 90.58%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hermansen M. (G) 3. Faes W. 4. Coady C. 33. Thomas L. 2. Justin J. 6. Ndidi W. 24. Soumare B. 16. Kristiansen V. 20. Daka P. 11. El Khannouss B. 9. Vardy J. (C)	24. Onana A. (G) 4. de Ligt M. 2. Lindelof V. 26. Heaven A. 3. Mazraoui N. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 25. Ugarte M. 20. Dalot D. 17. Garnacho A. 14. Eriksen C. 9. Hojlund R.
Substitutes
18. Ayew J. 40. Buonanotte F. 25. Coulibaly W. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 10. Mavididi S. 35. McAteer K. 5. Okoli C. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 8. Winks H.	41. Amass H. 18. Casemiro 43. Collyer T. 55. Fredricson T. 50. Harrison E. (G) 45. Mee D. (G) 7. Mount M. 56. Obi C. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
van Nistelrooy R.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Hojlund R. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
33', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Heaven A. ↓, Collyer T. ↑,
64', Daka P. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
64', Soumare B. ↓, Winks H. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Garnacho A. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
69', Ugarte M. ↓, Casemiro ↑,
69', Garnacho A. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
69', Eriksen C. ↓, Amass H. ↑,
77', Ndidi W. 🟨,
82', Justin J. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
82', Kristiansen V. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
85', Hojlund R. ↓, Fredricson T. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Fernandes B. ⚽, Dalot D. (A),
90+1', El Khannouss B. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 0.

Leicester has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Man Utd is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Man Utd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Man Utd have a series of home games.

In this match Man Utd is a favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Souttar H. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Bayindir A. (Injury) Diallo A. (Ankle Injury) Dorgu P. (Red Card) Evans J. (Lower Back Injury) Mainoo K. (Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Shaw L. (Calf Injury) Yoro L. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Maguire H. (Hamstring Injury)

Our prediction for today's Man Utd to win the game is with odds 1.88.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Leicester won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 21:41 (average 1.1:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:16 (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
09.03.25	Chelsea - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
27.02.25	West Ham United - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Leicester City - Brentford	0:4 ✺
15.02.25	Leicester City - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
07.02.25	Manchester United - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Manchester United
UEFA Europa League
13.03.25	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
English Premier League
09.03.25	Manchester United - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	Real Sociedad - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.03.25	Manchester United - Fulham	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
26.02.25	Manchester United - Ipswich Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
07.02.25	Manchester United - Leicester City	2:1
English Premier League
10.11.24	Manchester United - Leicester City	3:0
English League Cup
30.10.24	Manchester United - Leicester City	5:2
English Premier League
19.02.23	Manchester United - Leicester City	3:0
01.09.22	Leicester City - Manchester United	0:1
02.04.22	Manchester United - Leicester City	1:1
16.10.21	Leicester City - Manchester United	4:2

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