Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leicester City		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.45
	6.5	4.33	1.49
	7.4	4.7	1.47	Watch
	7.31	4.77	1.45	Watch
	6.5	4.2	1.5
	7	4.65	1.49	Watch
	7.4	4.7	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.94 ↑ (5.73)	4.55 ↑ (4.43)	1.47 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
13.8%

Draw
21.1%

Newcastle United
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

21.7%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

21.2%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.9%	8.4%	74.7%

Leicester City - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 14 - 17.5%). Newcastle will win (votes: 61 - 76.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 67% – 85.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Leicester (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Newcastle (2.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Newcastle (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Newcastle (1.67) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle United will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 6 - 16.7%). Newcastle (votes: 30 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hermansen M. (G) 3. Faes W. 4. Coady C. 33. Thomas L. 2. Justin J. 6. Ndidi W. 24. Soumare B. 16. Kristiansen V. 20. Daka P. 11. El Khannouss B. 9. Vardy J. (C)	22. Pope N. (G) 2. Trippier K. 5. Schar F. 33. Burn D. 21. Livramento V. 39. Bruno Guimaraes (C) 8. Tonali S. 7. Joelinton 23. Murphy J. 14. Isak A. 11. Barnes H.
Substitutes
18. Ayew J. 40. Buonanotte F. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 10. Mavididi S. 93. Monga J. 5. Okoli C. 21. Pereira R. 22. Skipp O. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G)	1. Dubravka M. (G) 17. Krafth E. 36. Longstaff S. 67. Miley L. 78. Neave S. 18. Osula W. 26. Ruddy J. (G) 13. Targett M. 9. Wilson C.
Coaches
van Nistelrooy R.	Howe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Murphy J. ⚽, Livramento V. (A),
11', 0 - 2, Murphy J. ⚽,
14', Ndidi W. 🟨,
34', 0 - 3, Barnes H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Daka P. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
46', Kristiansen V. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
47', Justin J. 🟨,
65', Joelinton ↓, Miley L. ↑,
65', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
72', Isak A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
72', Murphy J. ↓, Osula W. ↑,
74', Justin J. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
74', El Khannouss B. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
87', Trippier K. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 0.

Leicester has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Newcastle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Newcastle is certain favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Souttar H. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Knee Injury) Hall L. (Foot Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Gordon A. (Groin Injury) Targett M. (Illness)

Our prediction for today's Newcastle to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Leicester won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 33:23 (average 1.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:10 (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
02.04.25	Manchester City - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Leicester City - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Chelsea - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
27.02.25	West Ham United - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Leicester City - Brentford	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Newcastle United
English Premier League
02.04.25	Newcastle United - Brentford	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
16.03.25	Liverpool - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
10.03.25	West Ham United - Newcastle United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.03.25	Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2 ET ✺
English Premier League
26.02.25	Liverpool - Newcastle United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.12.24	Newcastle United - Leicester City	4:0
22.05.23	Newcastle United - Leicester City	0:0
English League Cup
10.01.23	Newcastle United - Leicester City	2:0
English Premier League
26.12.22	Leicester City - Newcastle United	0:3
17.04.22	Newcastle United - Leicester City	2:1
12.12.21	Leicester City - Newcastle United	4:0
07.05.21	Leicester City - Newcastle United	2:4

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