Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	02:00	MyTV
Canada	15:00	fubo Sports Network
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	03:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	21:00	See, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	V Sport 2
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now E
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	19:00	Siminn Sport
India	00:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema
Indonesia	02:00	Vidio
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	04:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	SuperSport 2
Malaysia	03:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	13:00	Tubi TV
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:00	Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:00	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:00	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra, Sport 24 International
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
International	19:00	Disney+


	Leicester City		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.45
	6.5	4.33	1.49
	7.4	4.7	1.47	Watch
	7.31	4.77	1.45	Watch
	6.5	4.2	1.5
	7	4.65	1.49	Watch
	7.4	4.7	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.94 ↑ (5.73)	4.55 ↑ (4.43)	1.47 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
13.8%

Draw
21.1%

Newcastle United
65.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.8%

21.7%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

21.2%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.9%	8.4%	74.7%

Leicester City - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 14 - 17.5%). Newcastle will win (votes: 61 - 76.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 67% – 85.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Leicester (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Newcastle (2.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Newcastle (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Newcastle (1.67) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle United will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 6 - 16.7%). Newcastle (votes: 30 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hermansen M. (G) 3. Faes W. 4. Coady C. 33. Thomas L. 2. Justin J. 6. Ndidi W. 24. Soumare B. 16. Kristiansen V. 20. Daka P. 11. El Khannouss B. 9. Vardy J. (C)	22. Pope N. (G) 2. Trippier K. 5. Schar F. 33. Burn D. 21. Livramento V. 39. Bruno Guimaraes (C) 8. Tonali S. 7. Joelinton 23. Murphy J. 14. Isak A. 11. Barnes H.
Substitutes
18. Ayew J. 40. Buonanotte F. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 10. Mavididi S. 93. Monga J. 5. Okoli C. 21. Pereira R. 22. Skipp O. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G)	1. Dubravka M. (G) 17. Krafth E. 36. Longstaff S. 67. Miley L. 78. Neave S. 18. Osula W. 26. Ruddy J. (G) 13. Targett M. 9. Wilson C.
Coaches
van Nistelrooy R.	Howe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Murphy J. ⚽, Livramento V. (A),
11', 0 - 2, Murphy J. ⚽,
14', Ndidi W. 🟨,
34', 0 - 3, Barnes H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Daka P. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
46', Kristiansen V. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
47', Justin J. 🟨,
65', Joelinton ↓, Miley L. ↑,
65', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
72', Isak A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
72', Murphy J. ↓, Osula W. ↑,
74', Justin J. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
74', El Khannouss B. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
87', Trippier K. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 0.

Leicester has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Newcastle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Newcastle is certain favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Souttar H. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Knee Injury) Hall L. (Foot Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Gordon A. (Groin Injury) Targett M. (Illness)

Our prediction for today's Newcastle to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Leicester won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 33:23 (average 1.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:10 (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
02.04.25	Manchester City - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Leicester City - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Chelsea - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
27.02.25	West Ham United - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Leicester City - Brentford	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Newcastle United
English Premier League
02.04.25	Newcastle United - Brentford	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
16.03.25	Liverpool - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
10.03.25	West Ham United - Newcastle United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.03.25	Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2 ET ✺
English Premier League
26.02.25	Liverpool - Newcastle United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.12.24	Newcastle United - Leicester City	4:0
22.05.23	Newcastle United - Leicester City	0:0
English League Cup
10.01.23	Newcastle United - Leicester City	2:0
English Premier League
26.12.22	Leicester City - Newcastle United	0:3
17.04.22	Newcastle United - Leicester City	2:1
12.12.21	Leicester City - Newcastle United	4:0
07.05.21	Leicester City - Newcastle United	2:4

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