The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wolverhampton Wanderers 65.3%
Draw 20.3%
Watford 14.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.5%
19.4%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.4%
15.3%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wolverhampton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Wolverhampton Wanderers - Watford Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Wolverhampton will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Watford will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Wolverhampton (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Wolverhampton (1.44) (votes: 95%) ⭐ Best Value.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sa J. (G) 2. Trippier K. (C) 15. Mosquera Y. 37. Krejci L. 3. Bueno H. 7. Andre 5. Munetsi M. 27. Bellegarde J. 8. James J. 19. Said R. 10. Armstrong A.
1. Ravaglia F. (G) 16. Bola M. 4. Keben K. 6. Pollock M. (C) 29. Mlacic B. 15. Diatta K. 39. Kayembe E. 5. Kyprianou H. 17. Bravo I. 10. Boadu M. 9. Kjerrumgaard L.
Substitutes
23. Chirewa T. 20. Doyle T. 28. Lopez F. 36. Mane M. 14. Neave S. 62. Rawlings L. 38. Tchatchoua J. 24. Toti 13. Virginia J. (G)
26. Bachmann D. (G) 20. Doumbia M. 7. Maamma O. 45. Mavididi S. 21. Nabizada A. 22. Payero M. 23. Traore O. H. 11. Vata R. 33. Zemura J.
Coaches
Peixoto C.
Dionisi A.
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 20th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 4.
Wolverhampton has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Watford is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Wolverhampton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Wolverhampton as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Confirmed absences for Wolverhampton: Gomes R.
(Foot Injury)
Jimenez R.
(Knee Injury)
Traore B.
(Injury)
Traore B.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Wolverhampton: Armstrong A.
(Back Injury)
Gonzalez E.
(Injury)
Ojinnaka T.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Watford: Akomeah T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Antonio M.
(Inactive)
Baah K.
(Knock)
Bove E.
(Knee Injury)
Ngakia J.
(Thigh Injury).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Wolverhampton has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:13 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wolverhampton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:5 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).
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Sa J. (G) 
Trippier K. (C) 
Mosquera Y. 
Krejci L. 
Bueno H. 
Andre 
Munetsi M. 
Bellegarde J. 
James J. 
Said R. 
Ravaglia F. (G) 
Keben K. 
Mlacic B. 
Diatta K. 
Kayembe E. 
Kyprianou H. 
Boadu M. 
Kjerrumgaard L. 
Bachmann D. (G) 
Doumbia M. 
Maamma O. 
Nabizada A. 
Payero M. 
Traore O. H. 
Vata R. 
