Match Info

Championship - Round 8

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Bristol City		Watford

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.9	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.90	4.40
	1.76	3.63	4.67	Watch
	1.77	4.01	4.63
	1.82	3.83	4.14	Watch
	1.73	3.95	4.55
	1.72	3.82	4.42	Watch
	1.74	3.85	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.02)	3.86 ↑ (3.5)	4.45 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
54.3%

Draw
24.5%

Watford
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

25.9%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol City's performance.

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Watford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Watford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Bristol City - Watford Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Watford will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Watford (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.75) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.75) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 1 - 50%). Watford (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 19. Tanner G. 38. Eile N. 5. Atkinson R. 21. Cardines R. 8. Williams J. 4. Randell A. 7. Hirakawa Y. 12. Knight J. (C) 20. Greenwood S. 23. Ballard D.	1. Ravaglia F. (G) 4. Keben K. 6. Pollock M. (C) 29. Mlacic B. 11. Vata R. 5. Kyprianou H. 39. Kayembe E. 21. Nabizada A. 17. Bravo I. 20. Doumbia M. 9. Kjerrumgaard L.
Substitutes
45. Adebayo E. 40. Collins B. (G) 2. Eissat L. 14. Horvat T. 3. Pring C. 9. Tolaj L. 10. Twine S. 17. Wallace J. 27. Yah G.	26. Bachmann D. (G) 10. Boadu M. 19. Chikovani N. 53. Clarridge J. 56. Eames A. 43. Grieves J. 7. Maamma O. 45. Mavididi S. 24. Walker S. (G)
Coaches
Skubala M.	Dionisi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Doumbia M. 🟨,
25', Nabizada A. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Ballard D. ⚽, Cardines R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Mlacic B. 🟨,
54', Knight J. 🟨,
54', Kayembe E. 🟨,
54', Williams J. 🟨,
62', Mlacic B. ↓, Eames A. ↑,
62', Vata R. ↓, Maamma O. ↑,
62', Nabizada A. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
63', Ballard D. ↓, Tolaj L. ↑,
63', Hirakawa Y. ↓, Wallace J. ↑,
70', Doumbia M. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
70', Greenwood S. ↓, Pring C. ↑,
81', Pollock M. 🟨,
88', Eile N. ↓, Eissat L. ↑,
88', Randell A. ↓, Yah G. ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 13th and 17th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 2.

In recent outings, Bristol City has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Watford has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Watford could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Bristol City for this game.

Confirmed absences for Bristol City: De Keersmaecker B. (Shoulder Injury) Dickie R. (Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Watford: Akomeah T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Baah K. (Knock) Boadu M. (Injury) Bola M. (Hamstring Injury) Bove E. (Knee Injury) Zemura J. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Watford: Grieves J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mlacic B. (Inactive) Ngakia J. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Bristol City has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:28 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bristol City against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:8 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Bristol City: 1.02% Watford: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	12:13	-1	14
20	Watford	9	2	2	5	7:14	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
15.09.26	Bristol City - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Southampton - Bristol City	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Burnley - Bristol City	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Preston North End - Bristol City	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Bristol City - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLWWW
- Watford FC
English League Championship
12.09.26	Watford - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Watford - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	West Bromwich Albion - Watford	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	Swansea City - Watford	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Watford - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
27.02.26	Bristol City - Watford	1:2
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Bristol City - Watford	5:1
English League Championship
07.11.25	Watford - Bristol City	1:1
05.04.25	Bristol City - Watford	2:1
26.11.24	Watford - Bristol City	1:0
20.01.24	Bristol City - Watford	1:1
26.12.23	Watford - Bristol City	1:4

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