Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Worcester City		St Ives Town

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.95	4.95
	1.58	3.89	4.89
	1.55	4.37	5.15	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5
	1.48	4.1	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)	3.98 ↓ (4.05)	5.1 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worcester City
59.3%

Draw
22.8%

St Ives Town
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

22.3%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

21.4%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worcester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

St Ives Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Worcester City - St Ives Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 1 - 1, Richens M. (Penalty Awarded),
69', 1 - 2, Richens M. ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, Guinan Z. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Worcester has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St Ives's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Worcester is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Worcester won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Worcester: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Worcester	9	1	4	4	7:12	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
11.04.26	Kettering Town - Worcester City	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Worcester City - Redditch United	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Bury Town - Worcester City	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Worcester City - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Leiston - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTWL
- St Ives Town
English Southern League Central Division
11.04.26	St Ives Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Royston Town - St Ives Town	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	St Ives Town - Harborough Town	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Stourbridge - St Ives Town	4:3 ✺
24.03.26	Alvechurch - St Ives Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.12.25	St Ives Town - Worcester City	2:1

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