Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday


	Worthing		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.8	5.75
	1.39	5	6.2
	1.38	5.21	5.94
	1.42	5.08	6.07
	1.4	4.6	6
	1.36	5.05	6.69
	1.39	5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)	4.96 ↓ (5)	6.12 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
66.4%

Draw
18.6%

Gosport Borough
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.5%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

15.5%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Gosport Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worthing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Worthing - Gosport Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Wassmer C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 1, Wooden D. ⚽,
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Cashman D. (Pen),
1, Williams R. (Pen),
2, Colbran J. (Pen),
2, Wooden D. (Pen),
3, Spong J. (Pen),
3, Yearwood A. (Pen),
4, Young A. (Pen),
4, Tarbuck B. (Pen),
5, Babalola T. (Pen),

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Gosport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Worthing is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
03.12.24	Salisbury - Worthing	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Worthing - Weston-super-Mare	3:0 ✺
26.11.24	Farnborough - Worthing	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Worthing - Chelmsford City	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Chichester City - Worthing	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLTW
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
30.11.24	Gosport Borough - Plymouth Parkway	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Chertsey Town - Gosport Borough	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Gosport Borough - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
13.11.24	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Poole Town - Gosport Borough	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWWTW

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