Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 10

Date: 8 October 2024, Tuesday


	Worthing		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.9	4.33
	1.63	4	4.5
	1.64	4.01	4.7
	1.67	4	4.61	Watch
	1.57	4	4.6
	1.62	4.05	4.59
	1.63	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.22)	3.99 ↑ (3.4)	4.55 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
56.8%

Draw
23%

Welling United
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

25.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worthing's performance.

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Welling United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worthing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Welling United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Worthing - Welling United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Worthing will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Welling will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Faal M. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 16 and 19).

Recent matches Worthing is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Welling is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Worthing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Worthing have a series of home games.

In this match Worthing is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Worthing won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:9 (average 3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Worthing won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 3.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
05.10.24	Worthing - Maidstone United	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Worthing - Dartford	3:1 ✺
English National League South
21.09.24	Weymouth - Worthing	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Worthing - Havant & Waterlooville	3:2 ✺
English National League South
07.09.24	Worthing - Hornchurch	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTWT
- Welling United
English National League South
05.10.24	Welling United - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Boreham Wood - Welling United	6:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Welling United - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
English National League South
07.09.24	Welling United - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.02.24	Welling United - Worthing	4:1
05.09.23	Worthing - Welling United	2:0
07.01.23	Worthing - Welling United	3:2
13.08.22	Welling United - Worthing	2:4
Club Friendly
27.07.21	Worthing - Welling United	5:1

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