Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Wrexham		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.1
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.15	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.19	3.69	3.26
	2.14	3.56	3.16	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.25
	2.15	3.52	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.89)	3.52 ↓ (3.58)	3.21 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
43.7%

Draw
26.8%

Blackpool
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

24.7%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wrexham's form might have worsened.

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wrexham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blackpool, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Wrexham - Blackpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Blackpool will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Howard M. (G) 29. Barnett R. 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 3. Brunt L. 7. McClean J. (C) 8. Cannon A. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 9. Palmer O. 10. Mullin P.	30. Tyrer H. (G) 24. Offiah O. 5. Pennington M. 20. Casey O. 3. Husband J. 25. Apter R. 7. Evans L. 8. Morgan A. 15. Coulson H. 11. Fletcher A. 9. Joseph K.
Substitutes
15. Dobson G. 22. Faal M. 26. Fletcher S. 32. Foster B. (G) 6. O'Connor T. 23. Revan S. 24. Scarr D.	26. Ashworth Z. 19. Ballard D. 10. Carey S. 4. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 6. Norburn O. 1. O'Donnell R. (G) 16. Rhodes J.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Bruce S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Fletcher A. ⚽, Husband J. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Mullin P. ⚽, Palmer O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Palmer O. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
79', Cannon A. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
79', Coulson H. ↓, Carey S. ↑,
79', Fletcher A. ↓, Rhodes J. ↑,
84', Mullin P. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Fletcher S. (Pen),
90+3', Apter R. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
90+3', Husband J. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Wrexham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Blackpool is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wrexham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wrexham will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League One
21.12.24	Bristol Rovers - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Wrexham - Cambridge United	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Wrexham - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
English League One
07.12.24	Burton Albion - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
03.12.24	Wrexham - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTWWW
- Blackpool
English League One
21.12.24	Blackpool - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.12.24	Blackpool - Aston Villa U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
14.12.24	Reading - Blackpool	0:3 ✺
04.12.24	Shrewsbury Town - Blackpool	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.12.24	Blackpool - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWWL

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