Match Info

Championship - Round 33

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.27	3.47	2.18	Watch
	3.6	3.51	2.1
	3.53	3.53	2.06	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.15
	3.35	3.35	2.13	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.37)	3.43 ↓ (3.46)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
28.1%

Draw
27.5%

Ipswich Town
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

27.3%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

28.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Wrexham have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	40%	15%

Wrexham - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Ipswich will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Wrexham (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 14. Thomason G. 18. Sheaf B. 27. O'Brien L. 20. Rathbone O. 10. Windass J. 19. Moore K.	28. Walton C. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 4. Kipre C. 3. Davis L. 5. Matusiwa A. 14. Taylor J. 7. Burns W. 33. Mehmeti A. 47. Clarke J. 31. Azon I.
Substitutes
33. Broadhead N. 11. Cadamarteri B. 15. Dobson G. 7. Keillor-Dunn D. 47. Longman R. 24. Scarr D. 28. Smith S. 26. Vyner Z. 21. Ward D. (G)	29. Akpom Ch. 12. Cajuste J. 8. Egeli S. W. 24. Greaves J. 9. Hirst G. 20. McAteer K. 6. Neil D. 32. Nunez M. 1. Palmer A. (G)
Coaches
Parkinson P.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Moore K. ⚽, Windass J. (A),
16', Sheaf B. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
20', 1 - 1, Mehmeti A. ⚽, Azon I. (A),
26', Cleworth M. 🟨,
31', Doyle C. 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Windass J. ⚽, Moore K. (A),
37', Davis L. 🟨,
41', Kipre C. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 2, Azon I. ⚽, Taylor J. (A),
45+4', Furlong D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 2 - 3, Kipre C. ⚽,
57', Burns W. 🟨,
60', Rathbone O. 🟨,
64', Hyam D. 🟨,
64', Kabore I. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
65', Rathbone O. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
66', 3 - 3, Thomason G. ⚽,
70', Taylor J. ↓, Neil D. ↑,
70', Mehmeti A. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
70', Burns W. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
75', 4 - 3, Doyle C. ⚽, O'Brien L. (A),
76', Azon I. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
80', Matusiwa A. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
85', Windass J. ↓, Vyner Z. ↑,
86', 5 - 3, Broadhead N. ⚽, O'Brien L. (A),
89', Dobson G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Wrexham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ipswich has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ipswich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ipswich will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Cacace L. (Injury) James A. (Injury) O'Connor T. (Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Nunez M. (Injury) Philogene J. (Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury) Young A. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Burns W. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wrexham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Wrexham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Wrexham: 4.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Wrexham - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 28.06%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Ipswich Town - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.61%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
17.02.26	Bristol City - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.02.26	Wrexham - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
07.02.26	Wrexham - Millwall	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Queens Park Rangers - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TWLWW
- Ipswich Town
English FA Cup
13.02.26	Wrexham - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
07.02.26	Derby County - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Ipswich Town - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Sheffield United - Ipswich Town	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Ipswich Town - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
13.02.26	Wrexham - Ipswich Town	1:0
English League Championship
22.11.25	Ipswich Town - Wrexham	0:0

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