Match Info

Championship - Round 31

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Pride Park (Derby)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Derby County		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.96	Watch
	3.6	3.3	2.1
	3.72	3.57	1.99	Watch
	3.93	3.55	2
	3.67	3.48	2.03	Watch
	3.6	3.25	2
	3.76	3.4	1.97	Watch
	3.8	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	3.44 ↑ (3.36)	2.01 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County
25.4%

Draw
27.5%

Ipswich Town
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

28.1%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

27.3%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	15.4%	46.2%

Derby County - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Ipswich will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 2 - 40%). Ipswich (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Derby (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 50%). Ipswich (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vickers J. (G) 23. Ward J. 5. Clarke M. 4. Batth D. 2. Murkin D. 18. Ozoh D. 27. Travis L. (C) 25. Brereton Diaz B. 42. Clark B. 10. Brewster R. 7. Agyemang P.	28. Walton C. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 4. Kipre C. 3. Davis L. 5. Matusiwa A. 14. Taylor J. 7. Burns W. 33. Mehmeti A. 47. Clarke J. 31. Azon I.
Substitutes
54. Allen C. 34. Banel J. 53. Canoville R. 37. Eames O. 3. Forsyth C. 29. Fraulo O. 12. O'Donnell R. (G) 15. Salvesen L. 16. Thompson L.	29. Akpom Ch. 12. Cajuste J. 8. Egeli S. W. 24. Greaves J. 9. Hirst G. 18. Johnson B. 20. McAteer K. 6. Neil D. 1. Palmer A. (G)
Coaches
Eustace J.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Travis L. (Own goal),
13', Travis L. 🟨,
30', Taylor J. 🟨,
33', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Batth D. 🟨,
63', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
63', Ozoh D. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
64', Burns W. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Brewster R. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Taylor J. ↓, Neil D. ↑,
76', Azon I. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
76', Clarke J. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Davis L. ⚽, McAteer K. (A),
82', Brewster R. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
83', McAteer K. 🟨,
90', Clark B. ↓, Eames O. ↑,
90+2', Travis L. 🟨,
90+2', Furlong D. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Ipswich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ipswich has had a series of home games.

Ipswich will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Derby: Morris C. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Nunez M. (Injury) Philogene J. (Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Derby won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Derby: 0.7%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
23	Derby	9	1	3	5	8:15	-7	6

Last Results with these Odds

Derby County - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 25.54%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County
English League Championship
30.01.26	Bristol City - Derby County	0:5 ✺
23.01.26	Derby County - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Charlton Athletic - Derby County	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Preston North End - Derby County	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Derby County - Leeds United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTWWL
- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
31.01.26	Ipswich Town - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Sheffield United - Ipswich Town	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Ipswich Town - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ipswich Town - Blackburn Rovers	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Ipswich Town - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
30.08.25	Ipswich Town - Derby County	2:2
English League One
01.04.23	Derby County - Ipswich Town	0:2
21.10.22	Ipswich Town - Derby County	1:0
English League Championship
13.02.19	Ipswich Town - Derby County	1:1
21.08.18	Derby County - Ipswich Town	2:0
30.12.17	Ipswich Town - Derby County	1:2
28.11.17	Derby County - Ipswich Town	0:1

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