Match Info

Championship - Round 32

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Bristol City		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.17	3.53	3.24	Watch
	2.23	3.53	3.3
	2.18	3.54	3.21	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.18	3.38	3.21	Watch
	2.22	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.01)	3.44 ↓ (3.65)	3.22 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
43.3%

Draw
27.4%

Wrexham
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

24.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	28%	8%

Bristol City - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Wrexham will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bristol City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vitek R. (G) 19. Tanner G. 16. Dickie R. (C) 5. Atkinson R. 17. Sykes M. 40. Morsy S. 4. Randell A. 21. Neto Borges 14. Horvat T. 10. Twine S. 18. Riis E.	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 18. Sheaf B. 20. Rathbone O. 14. Thomason G. 27. O'Brien L. 33. Broadhead N. 28. Smith S.
Substitutes
30. Armstrong S. 20. Bell S. 6. Bird M. 11. Burgzorg D. 38. Eile N. 12. Knight J. 13. Lumley J. (G) 3. Pring C. 8. Williams J.	29. Barnett R. 11. Cadamarteri B. 15. Dobson G. 7. Keillor-Dunn D. 47. Longman R. 19. Moore K. 24. Scarr D. 21. Ward D. (G) 10. Windass J.
Coaches
Struber G.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Rathbone O. ⚽,
40', Rathbone O. 🟨,
44', Neto Borges 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Morsy S. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
46', Sykes M. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
46', Riis E. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Armstrong S. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
50', Struber G. 🟨,
54', Cleworth M. 🟨,
63', Horvat T. ↓, Bird M. ↑,
71', Randell A. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
71', Rathbone O. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
71', Smith S. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
71', Broadhead N. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
73', Hyam D. 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Williams J. (Own goal),
89', 2 - 2, Bird M. ⚽, Knight J. (A),
90+1', Burgzorg D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).

Bristol City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wrexham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bristol City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bristol City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) James A. (Injury) O'Connor T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bristol City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Wrexham: 4.26% Bristol City: 2.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	12:13	-1	14
14	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Bristol City - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.67%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
07.02.26	Hull City - Bristol City	2:3 ✺
30.01.26	Bristol City - Derby County	0:5 ✺
24.01.26	Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Ipswich Town - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Oxford United - Bristol City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLT
- Wrexham AFC
English FA Cup
13.02.26	Wrexham - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
07.02.26	Wrexham - Millwall	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Queens Park Rangers - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
20.01.26	Wrexham - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.11.25	Wrexham - Bristol City	2:0

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