Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Mansfield Town		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.67	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.66
	4.5	4	1.7	Watch
	4.93	4	1.71
	4.7	3.83	1.69	Watch
	4.75	3.8	1.73
	4.62	4.05	1.7	Watch
	4.5	4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (4.34)	3.92 ↓ (3.93)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
20.2%

Draw
24.1%

Birmingham City
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

24.1%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

25.5%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Mansfield Town - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 9. Bowery J. 23. Oshilaja A. 6. Cargill B. 4. Hewitt E. 17. Baccus K. 10. Maris G. 8. Lewis A. 3. McLaughlin S. (C) 19. Gregory L. 11. Evans W.	21. Allsop R. (G) 2. Laird E. 25. Davies B. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 24. Iwata T. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 14. Anderson K. 28. Stansfield J. 18. Willumsson W. T. 17. Dykes L.
Substitutes
7. Akins L. 22. Blake-Tracy F. 44. Boateng H. 13. Flinders S. (G) 14. Flint A. 16. Quinn S. 21. Waine B.	19. Gardner-Hickman T. 26. Harris L. 12. Leonard M. 9. May A. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 5. Sanderson D. 33. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Clough N.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Willumsson W. T. ⚽, Anderson K. (A),
22', Iwata T. 🟨,
41', Lewis A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Maris G. ↓, Blake-Tracy F. ↑,
46', Cargill B. ↓, Flint A. ↑,
46', Hewitt E. ↓, Akins L. ↑,
56', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
59', Stansfield J. ↓, May A. ↑,
62', Lewis A. ↓, Boateng H. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Gregory L. ⚽,
71', Iwata T. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
71', Dykes L. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
71', Laird E. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,
80', Baccus K. ↓, Quinn S. ↑,
80', Anderson K. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League One
22.10.24	Wigan Athletic - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Mansfield Town - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Mansfield Town - Blackpool	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Crawley Town - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Northampton Town - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWWW
- Birmingham City
English League One
22.10.24	Birmingham City - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Lincoln City - Birmingham City	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Shrewsbury Town - Birmingham City	0:4 ✺
English League One
05.10.24	Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
01.10.24	Birmingham City - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.14	Mansfield Town - Birmingham City	Canceled

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