Match Info

Championship - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Swansea City		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.20	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.30	3.20
	2.14	3.35	3.30	Watch
	2.33	3.40	3.29
	2.38	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.30	3.35	3.20
	2.28	3.29	3.46	Watch
	2.23	3.30	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.48)	3.32 ↑ (3.31)	3.24 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
42%

Draw
28.6%

Wrexham
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

27.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wrexham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Swansea City - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Wrexham will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Wrexham (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 50%). Wrexham (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 26. Lissah F. 23. Welsh S. 14. Tymon J. 7. Widell M. 4. Fulton J. (C) 46. Eustaquio S. 49. Yeo M. K. 33. Idah A. 10. Eom Ji-Sung	22. Patterson A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 30. Imray D. 37. James M. 8. Whiteman B. 47. Longman R. 20. Rathbone O. 17. O'Hare C. 28. Smith S.
Substitutes
5. Cabango B. 1. Fisher A. (G) 8. Just E. 30. Opoku J. 20. Parente T. 35. Ronald 3. Seelt J. 6. Stamenic M. 9. Vipotnik Z.	11. Cadamarteri B. 3. Ekomie J. 12. Kabore I. 19. Moore K. 27. O'Brien L. 26. Vyner Z. 21. Ward D. (G) 10. Windass J. 6. Worrall J.
Coaches
Emanuel Soares Matos V.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Lissah F. ↓, Cabango B. ↑,
53', Eom Ji-Sung ↓, Opoku J. ↑,
62', Rathbone O. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
62', Longman R. ↓, Ekomie J. ↑,
62', Imray D. ↓, Kabore I. ↑,
63', Smith S. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
63', Idah A. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
67', Opoku J. 🟨,
75', Widell M. ↓, Just E. ↑,
75', Fulton J. ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
77', Cabango B. 🟨,
78', O'Hare C. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
88', Welsh S. 🟨,

Preview

Swansea is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wrexham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wrexham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Swansea might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Swansea: Burgess C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Franco G. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Calf Injury) Revan S. (Hamstring Injury) Sheaf B. (Inactive) Thomason G. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Swansea: Cabango B. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Swansea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Swansea: 5.14% Wrexham: 1.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Swansea	9	6	2	1	15:7	8	20
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	9:12	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Swansea City - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.39%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
01.09.26	Swansea City - Watford	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Derby County - Swansea City	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Swansea City - Sheffield United	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Stoke City - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Swansea City - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTWL
- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
02.09.26	Millwall - Wrexham	0:3 ✺
28.08.26	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Wrexham - Watford	1:1 ✺
17.08.26	Cardiff City - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
07.08.26	Middlesbrough - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
13.03.26	Wrexham - Swansea City	2:0
19.12.25	Swansea City - Wrexham	2:1

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