Match Info

Championship - Round 19

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Bramall Lane (Sheffield)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Sheffield United		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.07	3.35	3.69	Watch
	2.04	3.52	3.8
	2.06	3.45	3.59	Watch
	2	3.3	3.6
	2.08	3.3	3.52	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.16)	3.37 ↑ (3.22)	3.65 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield United
46.2%

Draw
28%

Stoke City
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	21.7%	21.7%

Sheffield United - Stoke City Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Sheff Utd will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Stoke will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Utd: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sheffield United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 38. Seriki F. 2. Tanganga J. (C) 25. McGuinness M. 3. McCallum S. 11. Brooks A. 44. Riedewald J. 42. Peck S. 8. Hamer G. 45. Bamford P. 23. Campbell T.	1. Johansson V. (G) 22. Tchamadeu J. 18. Lawal B. 16. Wilmot B. (C) 17. Bocat E. 19. Rigo T. 12. Seko T. 42. Manhoef M. 10. Bae J. 7. Thomas S. 9. Mubama D.
Substitutes
. Arblaster O. 6. Bindon T. 14. Burrows H. 7. Cannon T. 24. Chong T. 17. Davies A. (G) 9. Ings D. 10. O'Hare C. 18. Soumare D.	13. Bonham J. (G) 11. Bozenik R. 29. Cisse L. 3. Cresswell A. 14. Donley J. 20. Gallagher S. 15. N'Zonzi S. 26. Phillips A. 40. Talovierov M.
Coaches
Wilder C.	Robins M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, McGuinness M. ⚽, Hamer G. (A),
33', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Seriki F. ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, Bamford P. ⚽, Seriki F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rigo T. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
46', McGuinness M. ↓, Bindon T. ↑,
57', Thomas S. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
65', Bamford P. ↓, Cannon T. ↑,
65', Riedewald J. ↓, Soumare D. ↑,
68', Brooks A. 🟨,
71', Manhoef M. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
72', Hamer G. ↓, O'Hare C. ↑,
75', Phillips A. 🟨,
77', 4 - 0, Peck S. (Penalty Awarded),
78', McCallum S. ↓, Burrows H. ↑,
84', Mubama D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
84', Lawal B. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 3.

Sheff Utd is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stoke has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sheff Utd might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Davies T. (Injury) Godfrey B. (Personal Reasons)

There will not play in Stoke: Baker L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sheff Utd: Arblaster O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sheff Utd won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield United
English League Championship
29.11.25	Leicester City - Sheffield United	2:3 ✺
26.11.25	Sheffield United - Portsmouth	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Sheffield United	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Sheffield United - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
04.11.25	Coventry City - Sheffield United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWTL
- Stoke City
English League Championship
29.11.25	Stoke City - Hull City	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Stoke City - Charlton Athletic	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Leicester City - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Stoke City - Coventry City	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Oxford United - Stoke City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.04.25	Stoke City - Sheffield United	0:2
26.10.24	Sheffield United - Stoke City	2:0
14.01.23	Sheffield United - Stoke City	3:1
08.10.22	Stoke City - Sheffield United	3:1
02.04.22	Stoke City - Sheffield United	1:0
16.10.21	Sheffield United - Stoke City	2:1
05.05.19	Stoke City - Sheffield United	2:2

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