Match Info

Championship - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leicester City		Sheffield United

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.3	2.95	Watch
	2.36	3.44	2.95	Watch
	2.42	3.44	3.03
	1.83	3.70	4.16	Watch
	2.41	3.24	2.91	Watch
	2.4	3.33	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.83)	3.41 ↓ (3.7)	3.17 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
41.8%

Draw
28.1%

Sheffield United
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.4%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leicester City's form might have worsened.

Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheffield United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leicester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheffield United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	35.3%	17.6%

Leicester City - Sheffield United Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Sheff Utd will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 1 - 20%). Sheff Utd (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Begovic A. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 8. Winks H. 6. James J. 7. Fatawu I. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 10. Mavididi S. 20. Daka P.	1. Cooper M. (G) 38. Seriki F. 2. Tanganga J. (C) 15. Mee B. 14. Burrows H. 11. Brooks A. 42. Peck S. 44. Riedewald J. 10. O'Hare C. 7. Cannon T. 23. Campbell T.
Substitutes
9. Ayew J. 18. Carranza J. 17. Choudhury H. 28. Monga J. 25. Page L. 22. Skipp O. 24. Soumare B. 39. Thomas S. 13. Vieites F. (G)	45. Bamford P. 24. Chong T. 17. Davies A. (G) 8. Hamer G. 9. Ings D. 28. Matos A. 3. McCallum S. 25. McGuinness M. 18. Soumare D.
Coaches
Cifuentes M.	Wilder C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Cannon T. ⚽, O'Hare C. (A),
4', 0 - 2, Riedewald J. ⚽, O'Hare C. (A),
32', 0 - 3, Peck S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Winks H. ↓, Soumare B. ↑,
46', Daka P. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
46', Faes W. ↓, Skipp O. ↑,
53', 1 - 3, Mavididi S. ⚽, Fatawu I. (A),
64', Campbell T. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
65', Riedewald J. ↓, Soumare D. ↑,
65', Cannon T. ↓, Hamer G. ↑,
68', Soumare B. 🟨,
74', Burrows H. ↓, McCallum S. ↑,
80', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
81', Brooks A. ↓, McGuinness M. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, James J. ⚽, Soumare B. (A),
89', James J. 🟨,
90+2', McCallum S. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Leicester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leicester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leicester: Aluko O. (Red Card) Kristiansen V. (Knock) Nelson B. (Injury) Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Godfrey B. (Personal Reasons)

There are questionable in Leicester: Okoli C. (Inactive) Pereira R. (Inactive) Stolarczyk J. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Sheff Utd: Arblaster O. (Knee Injury) Chong T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:3. (average 2.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 2.7:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Leicester City - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.69%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League Championship
25.11.25	Southampton - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Leicester City - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Norwich City - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Leicester City - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Leicester City - Blackburn Rovers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWTL
- Sheffield United
English League Championship
26.11.25	Sheffield United - Portsmouth	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Sheffield United	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Sheffield United - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
04.11.25	Coventry City - Sheffield United	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Sheffield United - Derby County	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.03.21	Leicester City - Sheffield United	5:0
06.12.20	Sheffield United - Leicester City	1:2
16.07.20	Leicester City - Sheffield United	2:0
24.08.19	Sheffield United - Leicester City	1:2
English FA Cup
16.02.18	Leicester City - Sheffield United	1:0
English League Cup
22.08.17	Sheffield United - Leicester City	1:4

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