Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Simpson S. (Eng)


	Crawley Town		Huddersfield Town

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.1	1.6
	4.8	3.9	1.63
	5	4	1.63
	5.36	4.15	1.62
	5.06	4.02	1.62	Watch
	5	3.9	1.65
	5.1	4.15	1.63	Watch
	5	4	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (4.06)	4.03 ↑ (3.78)	1.63 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
18.8%

Draw
23.4%

Huddersfield Town
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

25.1%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

24.7%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Huddersfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huddersfield Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huddersfield Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huddersfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Crawley Town - Huddersfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Huddersfield will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huddersfield: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Trueman C. (G) 24. Mullarkey T. 20. Mukena J. 5. Barker C. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 23. Ibrahim B. 6. Anderson M. 12. Camara P. 7. Forster H. 10. Darcy R. (C) 9. Swan W.	13. Chapman J. (G) 4. Pearson M. 32. Lees T. (C) 23. Lonwijk N. 16. Kane H. 17. Spencer B. 18. Kasumu D. 8. Wiles B. 14. Miller M. 9. Radulovic B. 7. Marshall C.
Substitutes
15. Fish S. 8. Holohan G. 19. Kelly J. 11. Roles J. 21. Sheik J. (G) 29. Showunmi T. 17. Tanimu B.	15. Headley J. 11. Healey R. 5. Helik M. 28. Iorpenda T. 10. Koroma J. 12. Maxwell Ch. (G) 20. Turton O.
Coaches
Elliot R.	Duff M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Darcy R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Marshall C. ↓, Healey R. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Healey R. ⚽, Wiles B. (A),
63', Radulovic B. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
64', Swan W. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Anderson M. ⚽, Darcy R. (A),
68', 2 - 2, Kane H. ⚽, Spencer B. (A),
72', Camara P. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
72', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Fish S. ↑,
72', Kasumu D. ↓, Iorpenda T. ↑,
77', Darcy R. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
80', Showunmi T. 🟨,
83', Lees T. ↓, Helik M. ↑,
90+7', Ibrahim B. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).

Recent matches Crawley is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Huddersfield is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Huddersfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Crawley have a series of guest games.

In this match Huddersfield is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League One
05.11.24	Burton Albion - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Maidenhead United - Crawley Town	1:2 ET ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Northampton Town - Crawley Town	3:0 ✺
22.10.24	Crawley Town - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Reading - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLWL
- Huddersfield Town
English FA Cup
01.11.24	Tamworth - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Huddersfield Town - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
22.10.24	Wrexham - Huddersfield Town	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Huddersfield Town - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Huddersfield Town - Barnsley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTWW

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