Match Info

First League - Round 26

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday


	Yelimay 2		Tobol 2

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.85	2.40
	2.29	4.07	2.44	Watch
	2.26	4.01	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 (2.26)	3.98 ↓ (4.01)	2.38 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay 2
39.8%

Draw
22.6%

Tobol 2
37.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

22.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

21.1%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Tobol 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay 2 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol 2 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 13th in the Relegation).

Yelimay 2 is Relegated to.

Tobol 2 is Relegated to.

Yelimay 2 is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Tobol 2 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Tobol 2 in today's match, at odds of 2.31.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Yelimay 2 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Tobol 2 ✔	25	5	5	15	48:62	-14	20
14	Yelimay Semey 2 ✔	25	3	3	19	20:57	-37	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey 2
Kazakh First League
15.10.26	Astana 2 - Yelimay 2	7:1 ✺
08.10.26	Yelimay 2 - Arys	2:3 ✺
18.09.26	Turan Turkistan - Yelimay 2	4:1 ✺
10.09.26	Yelimay 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Jaiyq - Yelimay 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tobol Kostanay 2
Kazakh First League
15.10.26	Tobol 2 - Jaiyq	4:1 ✺
08.10.26	Aktobe 2 - Tobol 2	4:4 ✺
19.09.26	Tobol 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Tobol 2	1:5 ✺
28.08.26	Taraz - Tobol 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
02.04.26	Tobol 2 - Yelimay 2	1:1

Yelimay 2 - Tobol 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide