The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kaisar 28.8%
Draw 29%
Yelimay Semey 42.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.2%
18.8%
71%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.9%
13.8%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaisar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kaisar's performance.
Yelimay Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yelimay Semey might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaisar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yelimay Semey could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
16.7%
83.3%
Kaisar - Yelimay Semey Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Yelimay Semey will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Kovac A. (G) 17. Zhumabekov S. 3. Tolegenov A. 15. Idrisov N. 47. Konlimkos B. 6. Kaldybekov E. 93. Askarov S. 24. Cuckic N. 12. Sovet S. 96. Mukhammed A. 11. Moses V.
22. Pivkin N. (G) 2. Adambaev A. 4. Zhumakhanov A. 5. Belancic M. 20. Ashirbek A. 18. Orazov R. 44. Tyulyubay A. 27. Berezkin E. 10. Payruz Z. 77. Placca F. 7. Murtazaev R.
Substitutes
9. Agzambaev N. 16. Azhikhan A. (G) 70. Ezekiel I. 14. Jones T. 18. Rustemuly D. 1. Salaydin N. (G) 33. Sarbay E. 21. Serikuly D. 23. Zhumat M.
17. Bakhtiyarov A. 23. Ilic H. 16. Ndreca E. 99. Stojkovic V. (G) 11. Sviridov I. 1. Tsuprikov E. (G) 19. Zhaksylykov A. 67. Zhilin A.
Coaches
Ferapontov A.
Karpovich A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Murtazaev R. ⚽, Berezkin E. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Cuckic N. ⚽, Konlimkos B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', Mukhammed A. ↓, Agzambaev N. ↑,
63', Payruz Z. ↓, Bakhtiyarov A. ↑,
66', Ashirbek A. 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Placca F. ⚽, Orazov R. (A),
71', Placca F. ↓, Zhaksylykov A. ↑,
71', Murtazaev R. ↓, Sviridov I. ↑,
72', Kaldybekov E. ↓, Jones T. ↑,
73', Sovet S. ↓, Rustemuly D. ↑,
73', Moses V. ↓, Ezekiel I. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Zhaksylykov A. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Rustemuly D. 🟨,
83', Tolegenov A. ↓, Serikuly D. ↑,
85', Belancic M. 🟨,
86', Tyulyubay A. ↓, Ilic H. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 3, Ezekiel I. ⚽, Agzambaev N. (A),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6).
Kaisar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Yelimay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Yelimay is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Kaisar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Kazakhstan
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Kovac A. (G) 
Zhumabekov S. 
Cuckic N. 
Moses V. 
Belancic M. 
Berezkin E. 
Placca F. 
Jones T. 
Ndreca E. 
Stojkovic V. (G) 
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