Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Semey)

Referee: Nozhenko S. (Kaz)


	Yelimay Semey		Zhenis

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	3.9
	1.75	3.45	4.25	Watch
	1.75	3.55	4.52
	1.73	3.46	4.56	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4
	1.72	3.53	5	Watch
	1.64	3.6	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.92)	3.43 ↑ (3.26)	4.35 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay Semey
52.4%

Draw
26.6%

Zhenis
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

28.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Zhenis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Yelimay Semey - Zhenis Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Yelimay will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Zhenis will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pivkin N. (G) 20. Ashirbek A. 2. Adambaev A. 4. Zhumakhanov A. 5. Belancic M. 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 23. Ilic H. 44. Tyulyubay A. 27. Berezkin E. 77. Placca F. 7. Murtazaev R. (C)	41. Plotnikov M. (G) 4. Bystrov M. 5. Tevzadze Z. 63. Saravanja I. 13. Tursynbay S. 14. Saulet A. 52. Merkel A. 7. Kuat I. (C) 10. Imnadze L. 19. Adilio 9. Lobjanidze E.
Substitutes
16. Ndreca E. 10. Payruz Z. 99. Stojkovic V. (G) 11. Sviridov I. 1. Tsuprikov E. (G) 19. Zhaksylykov A. 67. Zhilin A.	17. Adilov A. 72. Askarov M. 93. Elder Santana 45. Iyede S. 21. Kamaradinov B. 18. Madelkhan B. 88. Martins G. 1. Sotnik I. (G) 23. Ulshin A.
Coaches
Karpovich A.	Aliyev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Imnadze L. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Murtazaev R. ⚽, Placca F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Kuat I. ⚽, Lobjanidze E. (A),
63', Bakhtiyarov A. ↓, Sviridov I. ↑,
65', Lobjanidze E. ↓, Elder Santana ↑,
75', Merkel A. ↓, Martins G. ↑,
78', Ilic H. ↓, Zhaksylykov A. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Placca F. ⚽,
86', Tyulyubay A. 🟨,
88', Saulet A. ↓, Iyede S. ↑,
90+4', Placca F. ↓, Zhilin A. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 4.

Yelimay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zhenis is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zhenis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Yelimay has had a series of away games.

In this match, Yelimay is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Yelimay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	35:33	2	38
8	Zhenis	26	8	8	10	26:32	-6	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
16.05.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Yelimay Semey	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Yelimay Semey - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Ulytau - Yelimay Semey	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
30.04.26	Aktobe - Yelimay Semey	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.04.26	Kairat - Yelimay Semey	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLT
- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
17.05.26	Zhenis - Kairat	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Zhenis - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
09.05.26	Zhetysu - Zhenis	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Zhenis - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Okzhetpes - Zhenis	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
19.07.25	Yelimay Semey - Zhenis	1:2
20.04.25	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	0:1
27.07.24	Yelimay Semey - Zhenis	1:0
04.05.24	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	1:2
Kazakh First League
26.09.23	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	0:3
10.06.23	Yelimay Semey - Zhenis	3:2

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