Match Info

FNL - Round 17

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)

Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)


	Spartak Kostroma		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.28	4.85	Watch
	2.15	2.98	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.13)	3.13 ↑ (3.08)	4.38 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
47.6%

Draw
30.6%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

31%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

31.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Spartak Kostroma - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
86. Korets N. (G) 5. Zhilmostnykh D. 4. Supranovich N. 2. Tarasov N. 57. Tlekhugov M. 22. Nemchenko A. 35. Enin I. 18. Ignatiev M. 8. Sadov D. 23. Chikanchi M. 55. Saplinov A.	73. Shtepa M. (G) 81. Tonevitskiy E. 99. Morozov K. 59. Syshchenko M. 8. Tarba Z. 5. Krachkovskii A. 77. Zarypbekov E. 31. Kasimov T. 10. Zhigulev I. 7. Antonov A. 44. Kukharchuk I.
Substitutes
7. Bokov D. 3. Bugriev S. 69. Chursin K. 56. Demyanov V. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 99. Gharibyan A. 17. Kalachev I. 6. Kaplenko K. 80. Khorin A. A. 78. Kiselev G. 11. Nazarenko E. 85. Puchkov S.	9. Aliev S. 32. Matyusha M. (G) 19. Pomeshkin K. 13. Puzanov S. 69. Rodionov I. 90. Sutugin I. 17. Zhilkin G.
Coaches
Bondar S.	Evseev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Saplinov A. (Pen),
32', Zhilmostnykh D. ↓, Kiselev G. ↑,
38', 1 - 1, Krachkovskii A. ⚽,
42', Saplinov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Kukharchuk I. 🟨,
57', Sadov D. ↓, Gharibyan A. ↑,
59', Krachkovskii A. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
60', 🟨,
68', Zhigulev I. 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Saplinov A. ⚽,
80', Zarypbekov E. ↓, Puzanov S. ↑,
80', Kukharchuk I. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Gharibyan A. ⚽,
85', Chikanchi M. ↓, Bokov D. ↑,
85', Tlekhugov M. ↓, Nazarenko E. ↑,
85', Nemchenko A. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
90', Tarasov N. 🟨,
90+2', Bokov D. 🟨,
90+2', Kiselev G. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Spartak Kostroma could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Spartak Kostroma - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ufa - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTTT
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
20.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
16.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Kuban-Kholding	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
12.10.25	Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTLLW

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