Match Info

K3 League - Round 13

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday


	Yeoju		Changwon City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3	2.35
				Watch
	3.27	3.23	2.23
				Watch
	2.9	2.88	2.4
	3.1	3.04	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.37)	3.04 ↑ (2.88)	2.31 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeoju
30.4%

Draw
30%

Changwon City
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.7%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

30.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeoju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yeoju's form might have worsened.

Changwon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Changwon City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeoju than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yeoju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Changwon City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yeoju - Changwon City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Yeoju won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Yeoju won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeoju FC
South Korean K3 League
08.06.25	Yeoju - Chuncheon	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Paju Frontier - Yeoju	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Yeoju - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Yeoju - Gimhae	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Yeoju - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTLL
- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
07.06.25	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Changwon City - Chuncheon	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Changwon City - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Gangneung - Changwon City	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Changwon City - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
25.08.24	Changwon City - Yeoju	0:0
28.04.24	Yeoju - Changwon City	0:2

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