Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 1

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Incheon United

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.78	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.76	4.03	4.35
	1.67	3.75	4.2
	1.76	4	4.2	Watch
	1.71	3.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.59)	3.89 ↓ (4.08)	4.23 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
53.8%

Draw
24.1%

Incheon United
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

23.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yokohama F. Marinos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Incheon United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Incheon will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ichimori J. (G) 27. Matsubara K. 15. Kamijima T. 24. Kato H. 33. Tsunoda R. 17. Inoue K. 8. Kida T. 25. Yoshio K. 23. Miyaichi R. 14. Uenaka A. 30. Nishimura T.	1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 17. Kim Jun-Yub 3. Kim Yeon-Soo 47. Kim Dong-Min 20. Delbridge H. 14. Jeong Dong-Yeon 8. Sin Jin-Ho 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 7. Kim Do-Hyuk 11. Gerso 9. Mugosa S.
Substitutes
11. Anderson Lopes 5. Eduardo 7. Elber 21. Iikura H. (G) 18. Mizunuma K. 36. Murakami Y. 2. Nagato K. 29. Nam Tae-Hee 31. Shirasaki F. (G) 6. Watanabe K. 28. Yamane R. 20. Yan	99. Cheon Seong-Hoon 10. Hernandes R. d. S. 13. Kang Yun-Koo 27. Kim Bo-Sub 50. Kim Dae-Joong 44. Kim Geon-Hui 25. Kim Min-Seog 21. Lee Tae-Hui (G) 28. Min Kyeong-Hyeon 6. Moon Ji-Hwan 40. Mpoku P. 4. Oh Ban-Suk
Coaches
Muscat K.	Jo Sung-Hwan

Preview

Yokohama FM is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Incheon is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yokohama FM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Incheon have a series of home games.

In this match Yokohama FM is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
15.09.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Sagan Tosu	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
10.09.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Consadole Sapporo	3:0 ✺
06.09.23	Consadole Sapporo - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
02.09.23	Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Yokohama FC - Yokohama F. Marinos	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWLLL
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 1
16.09.23	Incheon United - Jeju	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Incheon United - Pohang Steelers	0:2 ✺
25.08.23	Suwon - Incheon United	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.08.23	Incheon United - Hai Phong	3:1 ET ✺
South Korean K-League 1
18.08.23	Incheon United - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWT

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