Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K League 1 - Round 16

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport


	Suwon		Incheon United

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.45
	2.65	3.3	2.5
	2.76	3.43	2.63
	2.75	3.43	2.64
	2.7	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.58	3.69	2.53	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.49)	3.41 ↓ (3.46)	2.53 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon
35.3%

Draw
27.6%

Incheon United
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

26.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

26.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Suwon - Incheon United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 88. Lee Yong 6. Choi Kyu-Baek 5. Jackson L. 3. Park Cheol-Woo 7. Jeong Seung-Won 16. Lee Jae-Won 14. Yoon Bit-Garam 77. Kang Sang-Yoon 11. Lee Seung-Woo 70. Anderson Oliveira	1. Min S. (G) 47. Kim Dong-Min 82. Jonjic M. 20. Delbridge H. 17. Kim Jun-Yub 6. Moon Ji-Hwan 40. Mpoku P. 14. Choi Woo-Jin 77. Park Seung-Ho 9. Mugosa S. 24. Kim Min-Seog
Substitutes
20. Hwang Soon-Min 26. Jang Y. 19. Jeong J. 10. Ji Dong-Won 24. Kim Joo-Yeop 15. Kim Tae-Han 8. Matheus Trindade 9. Monreal J. 1. Park Bae-Jong (G)	18. Cheon Seong-Hoon 11. Gerso 23. Jeong Dong-yun 7. Kim D. 29. Kim Yu-sung (G) 55. Kwon Han-Jin 4. Oh Ban-Suk 8. Shin J. 19. Song Si-Woo
Coaches
Kim Eun-joong	Cho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Park Cheol-Woo 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Lee Seung-Woo ⚽, Anderson Oliveira (A),
35', Delbridge H. 🟨,
37', Moon Ji-Hwan 🟨,
42', Kim Min-Seog ↓, Kim D. ↑,
42', Mpoku P. ↓, Gerso ↑,
45+4', 2 - 0, Jeong Seung-Won ⚽, Anderson Oliveira (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Jeong Seung-Won ↓, Kim Tae-Han ↑,
61', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Cheon Seong-Hoon ↑,
61', Moon Ji-Hwan ↓, Shin J. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Mugosa S. ⚽,
79', Kang Sang-Yoon ↓, Ji Dong-Won ↑,
89', Kim Dong-Min ↓, Jeong Dong-yun ↑,
90+2', Anderson Oliveira ↓, Jang Y. ↑,
90+2', Lee Seung-Woo ↓, Kim Joo-Yeop ↑,
90+8', 3 - 1, Jang Y. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Suwon won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Suwon won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Suwon won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
29.05.24	Suwon - Daegu	2:0 ✺
26.05.24	Jeju - Suwon	1:0 ✺
19.05.24	Suwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Suwon	2:3 ✺
05.05.24	Suwon - Gangwon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWWL
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 1
29.05.24	Incheon United - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Incheon United - Gwangju	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Daejeon Citizen - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
11.05.24	Incheon United - FC Seoul	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Incheon United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
02.03.24	Incheon United - Suwon	0:1
25.08.23	Suwon - Incheon United	1:2
08.07.23	Suwon - Incheon United	2:2
22.04.23	Incheon United - Suwon	2:2
03.08.22	Incheon United - Suwon	1:1
06.07.22	Incheon United - Suwon	0:1
05.05.22	Suwon - Incheon United	2:2

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