Match Info

J1 League - Round 24

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Nagoya Grampus

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.4
	2.77	3.31	2.39	Watch
	2.83	3.31	2.69
	2.75	3.29	2.60	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.38
	2.8	3.57	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.86)	3.33 ↑ (3.31)	2.5 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
33.9%

Draw
28.4%

Nagoya Grampus
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

29%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	5.9%	41.2%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Nagoya will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Nagoya (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Yokohama FM (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yokohama F. Marinos will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Yokohama FM (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Nagoya (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Park Il-gyu (G) 16. Kato R. 13. Quinones J. 44. Deng T. 25. Suzuki T. 28. Yamane R. 45. Jean Claude 17. Inoue K. 11. Yan 48. Tanimura K. 7. Elber	35. Pisano A. (G) 70. Hara T. 20. Mikuni K. 2. Nogami Y. 44. Mori S. 15. Inagaki S. 8. Shiihashi K. 55. Tokumoto S. 14. Morishima T. 7. Izumi R. 18. Nagai K.
Substitutes
20. Amano J. 46. Asada H. 21. Iikura H. (G) 27. Matsubara K. 41. Matsumura K. 23. Miyaichi R. 14. Uenaka A. 6. Watanabe K. 47. Yamamura K.	77. Junker K. 6. Kawazura A. 33. Kikuchi T. 27. Nakayama K. 3. Sato Y. 1. Schmidt D. (G) 17. Uchida T. 11. Yamagishi Y. 66. Yamanaka R.
Coaches
Oshima H.	Hasegawa K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Quinones J. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Tanimura K. ⚽, Quinones J. (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Yan ⚽, Inoue K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mori S. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
62', Kato R. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
63', Quinones J. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
63', Inoue K. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
64', Jean Claude 🟨,
66', Nagai K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
66', Izumi R. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
73', Nogami Y. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
76', Elber ↓, Matsumura K. ↑,
79', Tanimura K. ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
80', Shiihashi K. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
86', Junker K. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 0, Uenaka A. ⚽, Yan (A),
90+6', Suzuki T. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 1.

Yokohama FM is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nagoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kida T. (Yellow Cards) Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury) Suwama K. (Ankle Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Amano J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Nagoya Grampus - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.38%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
05.07.25	Yokohama FC - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:1 ✺
25.06.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo	0:3 ✺
21.06.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLLL
- Nagoya Grampus
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Nagoya Grampus - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
05.07.25	Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Vissel Kobe - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
02.04.25	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:0
08.12.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus	0:2
Japan J League Cup
13.10.24	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2
09.10.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus	1:3
Japan J1 League
30.03.24	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1
08.07.23	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:2
29.04.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus	1:1

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